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Deportes·NCAA

Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026

Market icon
Deportes·NCAA

Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026

Arizona 27.3%

Michigan 24%

Duke 22%

Illinois 13.6%

Polymarket

$22,289,299 Vol.

Arizona 27.3%

Michigan 24%

Duke 22%

Illinois 13.6%

Polymarket

$22,289,299 Vol.

Arizona

$1,108,938 Vol.

27%

Michigan

$1,063,191 Vol.

24%

Duke

$944,271 Vol.

22%

Illinois

$1,317,133 Vol.

14%

Connecticut

$2,403,171 Vol.

6%

Purdue

$3,321,928 Vol.

6%

Tennessee

$1,093,164 Vol.

2%

Iowa

$958,956 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Entering the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Arizona, Michigan, and Duke as narrowly separated frontrunners at 27.3%, 23.5%, and 21.5% implied probabilities to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, reflecting the lack of a dominant survivor amid eight elite teams remaining. Michigan vaulted ahead after a commanding Sweet 16 rout of Alabama, showcasing top-10 offensive and defensive efficiency, while Arizona's blistering form—12-0 straight-up in their last 12 and 8-0 in March—bolsters their West Region edge versus Purdue. Duke's shaky first-round escape against Siena slightly cooled sentiment despite their No. 1 overall seed pedigree, and Illinois (13.6%) rides Big Ten momentum into a favorable Iowa matchup, underscoring the bracket's parity with multiple paths to the Final Four.

Entering the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Arizona, Michigan, and Duke as narrowly separated frontrunners at 27.3%, 23.5%, and 21.5% implied probabilities to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, reflecting the lack of a dominant survivor amid eight elite teams remaining. Michigan vaulted ahead after a commanding Sweet 16 rout of Alabama, showcasing top-10 offensive and defensive efficiency, while Arizona's blistering form—12-0 straight-up in their last 12 and 8-0 in March—bolsters their West Region edge versus Purdue. Duke's shaky first-round escape against Siena slightly cooled sentiment despite their No. 1 overall seed pedigree, and Illinois (13.6%) rides Big Ten momentum into a favorable Iowa matchup, underscoring the bracket's parity with multiple paths to the Final Four.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Entering the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Arizona, Michigan, and Duke as narrowly separated frontrunners at 27.3%, 23.5%, and 21.5% implied probabilities to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, reflecting the lack of a dominant survivor amid eight elite teams remaining. Michigan vaulted ahead after a commanding Sweet 16 rout of Alabama, showcasing top-10 offensive and defensive efficiency, while Arizona's blistering form—12-0 straight-up in their last 12 and 8-0 in March—bolsters their West Region edge versus Purdue. Duke's shaky first-round escape against Siena slightly cooled sentiment despite their No. 1 overall seed pedigree, and Illinois (13.6%) rides Big Ten momentum into a favorable Iowa matchup, underscoring the bracket's parity with multiple paths to the Final Four.

Entering the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Arizona, Michigan, and Duke as narrowly separated frontrunners at 27.3%, 23.5%, and 21.5% implied probabilities to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, reflecting the lack of a dominant survivor amid eight elite teams remaining. Michigan vaulted ahead after a commanding Sweet 16 rout of Alabama, showcasing top-10 offensive and defensive efficiency, while Arizona's blistering form—12-0 straight-up in their last 12 and 8-0 in March—bolsters their West Region edge versus Purdue. Duke's shaky first-round escape against Siena slightly cooled sentiment despite their No. 1 overall seed pedigree, and Illinois (13.6%) rides Big Ten momentum into a favorable Iowa matchup, underscoring the bracket's parity with multiple paths to the Final Four.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 70+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Arizona" con 27%, seguido de "Michigan" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" ha generado $22.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 31, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026", explora los 70+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" es "Arizona" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Michigan" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.