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Deportes·NCAA

Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026

Market icon
Deportes·NCAA

Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026

Arizona 36.4%

Michigan 22%

Duke 21%

Illinois 14.2%

Polymarket

$22,801,711 Vol.

Arizona 36.4%

Michigan 22%

Duke 21%

Illinois 14.2%

Polymarket

$22,801,711 Vol.

Arizona

$1,229,783 Vol.

36%

Michigan

$1,081,343 Vol.

22%

Duke

$974,191 Vol.

21%

Illinois

$1,382,420 Vol.

14%

Connecticut

$2,549,579 Vol.

5%

Tennessee

$1,113,705 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus favors Arizona at 36% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, bolstered by their No. 1 West seed status, Big 12 regular-season title, and dominant frontcourt pacing them through a lightly tested bracket to the Elite Eight versus No. 2 Purdue. Michigan (21%) and Duke (20%) trail closely as fellow No. 1 seeds, with Michigan sharing the Big Ten crown and rallying past No. 4 Alabama 90-77 in the Sweet 16, while Duke survived a nail-biter against No. 5 St. John's for their third straight Elite Eight berth ahead of a Sunday clash with No. 2 UConn. Illinois (14%) rides upset momentum as a No. 3 South seed into the Elite Eight, but UConn (5%) and No. 6 Tennessee (2%) face steeper paths as underdogs against top seeds en route to the Final Four.

Trader consensus favors Arizona at 36% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, bolstered by their No. 1 West seed status, Big 12 regular-season title, and dominant frontcourt pacing them through a lightly tested bracket to the Elite Eight versus No. 2 Purdue. Michigan (21%) and Duke (20%) trail closely as fellow No. 1 seeds, with Michigan sharing the Big Ten crown and rallying past No. 4 Alabama 90-77 in the Sweet 16, while Duke survived a nail-biter against No. 5 St. John's for their third straight Elite Eight berth ahead of a Sunday clash with No. 2 UConn. Illinois (14%) rides upset momentum as a No. 3 South seed into the Elite Eight, but UConn (5%) and No. 6 Tennessee (2%) face steeper paths as underdogs against top seeds en route to the Final Four.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus favors Arizona at 36% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, bolstered by their No. 1 West seed status, Big 12 regular-season title, and dominant frontcourt pacing them through a lightly tested bracket to the Elite Eight versus No. 2 Purdue. Michigan (21%) and Duke (20%) trail closely as fellow No. 1 seeds, with Michigan sharing the Big Ten crown and rallying past No. 4 Alabama 90-77 in the Sweet 16, while Duke survived a nail-biter against No. 5 St. John's for their third straight Elite Eight berth ahead of a Sunday clash with No. 2 UConn. Illinois (14%) rides upset momentum as a No. 3 South seed into the Elite Eight, but UConn (5%) and No. 6 Tennessee (2%) face steeper paths as underdogs against top seeds en route to the Final Four.

Trader consensus favors Arizona at 36% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, bolstered by their No. 1 West seed status, Big 12 regular-season title, and dominant frontcourt pacing them through a lightly tested bracket to the Elite Eight versus No. 2 Purdue. Michigan (21%) and Duke (20%) trail closely as fellow No. 1 seeds, with Michigan sharing the Big Ten crown and rallying past No. 4 Alabama 90-77 in the Sweet 16, while Duke survived a nail-biter against No. 5 St. John's for their third straight Elite Eight berth ahead of a Sunday clash with No. 2 UConn. Illinois (14%) rides upset momentum as a No. 3 South seed into the Elite Eight, but UConn (5%) and No. 6 Tennessee (2%) face steeper paths as underdogs against top seeds en route to the Final Four.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 70+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Arizona" con 36%, seguido de "Michigan" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" ha generado $22.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 31, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026", explora los 70+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" es "Arizona" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Michigan" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.