With the 2026 NCAA Tournament at the Final Four in Indianapolis, trader consensus prices Michigan and Arizona as virtual co-favorites at 34.5% and 34.0% implied probabilities, reflecting their No. 1 seed dominance through dominant tournament runs—including Michigan's 95-62 Elite Eight rout of Tennessee—while facing off in a pivotal semifinal where Michigan holds a slim -1.5 edge. UConn (17.8%) and Illinois (15.7%), the No. 2 and No. 3 seeds, trail as live underdogs in their lower-half clash (Illinois -1.5), buoyed by double-digit victories in every prior game but tested by stylistic matchups and Michigan's depth despite guard L.J. Cason's season-ending ACL injury. The razor-thin top duo underscores Big Ten strength, with historical upset potential keeping the national championship race wide open ahead of Saturday's semis.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMichigan 35%
Arizona 34.0%
Illinois 17.7%
Connecticut 14.2%
$25,367,357 Vol.
$25,367,357 Vol.
Michigan
35%
Arizona
34%
Illinois
18%
Connecticut
14%
Michigan 35%
Arizona 34.0%
Illinois 17.7%
Connecticut 14.2%
$25,367,357 Vol.
$25,367,357 Vol.
Michigan
35%
Arizona
34%
Illinois
18%
Connecticut
14%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
With the 2026 NCAA Tournament at the Final Four in Indianapolis, trader consensus prices Michigan and Arizona as virtual co-favorites at 34.5% and 34.0% implied probabilities, reflecting their No. 1 seed dominance through dominant tournament runs—including Michigan's 95-62 Elite Eight rout of Tennessee—while facing off in a pivotal semifinal where Michigan holds a slim -1.5 edge. UConn (17.8%) and Illinois (15.7%), the No. 2 and No. 3 seeds, trail as live underdogs in their lower-half clash (Illinois -1.5), buoyed by double-digit victories in every prior game but tested by stylistic matchups and Michigan's depth despite guard L.J. Cason's season-ending ACL injury. The razor-thin top duo underscores Big Ten strength, with historical upset potential keeping the national championship race wide open ahead of Saturday's semis.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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