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Ganador de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026

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Ganador de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026

España 15.8%

Inglaterra 12.8%

Francia 11.1%

Argentina 9.8%

Polymarket

$425,404,901 Vol.

España 15.8%

Inglaterra 12.8%

Francia 11.1%

Argentina 9.8%

Polymarket

$425,404,901 Vol.

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España

$5,572,873 Vol.

16%

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Inglaterra

$6,545,179 Vol.

13%

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Francia

$4,207,695 Vol.

11%

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Argentina

$6,702,490 Vol.

10%

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Brasil

$6,394,602 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$8,038,370 Vol.

7%

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Alemania

$6,714,689 Vol.

5%

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Título del grupo: Países Bajos

$8,960,619 Vol.

3%

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Noruega

$7,416,925 Vol.

3%

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Italia

$7,690,036 Vol.

2%

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Bélgica

$7,434,490 Vol.

2%

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Colombia

$7,030,843 Vol.

2%

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USA

$4,646,690 Vol.

2%

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Marruecos

$8,760,485 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Japón

$8,570,428 Vol.

1%

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Uruguay

$7,381,015 Vol.

1%

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México

$6,670,053 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$7,849,023 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$8,120,601 Vol.

1%

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Ecuador

$8,741,502 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$8,091,415 Vol.

1%

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Canadá

$11,381,981 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$10,026,647 Vol.

1%

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Corea del Sur

$13,131,816 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$11,361,960 Vol.

<1%

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Costa de Marfil

$8,686,662 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$8,063,785 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$9,683,483 Vol.

<1%

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Argelia

$10,215,452 Vol.

<1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia

$10,831,395 Vol.

<1%

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Túnez

$10,791,509 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$17,255,066 Vol.

<1%

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Egipto

$10,093,412 Vol.

<1%

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Haití

$12,168,304 Vol.

<1%

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Jordania

$16,173,212 Vol.

<1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao

$19,589,602 Vol.

<1%

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Irán

$11,229,720 Vol.

<1%

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Sudáfrica

$19,127,638 Vol.

<1%

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Cabo Verde

$10,175,271 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$11,231,079 Vol.

<1%

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Nueva Zelanda

$15,879,796 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbekistán

$26,732,084 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, and favorable group draw that delays clashes with rivals like Argentina, France, and England until semifinals or later. Recent March friendlies among qualified nations and playoff resolutions—such as Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname—yielded no major shocks, preserving a tightly bunched top tier where England (13%), France (11%), and Argentina (10%) trail closely amid balanced CONMEBOL and UEFA paths. The expanded 48-team format amplifies upset potential from dark horses like Norway (Haaland-led) and Colombia, while defending Copa América champions Argentina eye a Messi farewell run despite his advancing age.

Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, and favorable group draw that delays clashes with rivals like Argentina, France, and England until semifinals or later. Recent March friendlies among qualified nations and playoff resolutions—such as Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname—yielded no major shocks, preserving a tightly bunched top tier where England (13%), France (11%), and Argentina (10%) trail closely amid balanced CONMEBOL and UEFA paths. The expanded 48-team format amplifies upset potential from dark horses like Norway (Haaland-led) and Colombia, while defending Copa América champions Argentina eye a Messi farewell run despite his advancing age.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, and favorable group draw that delays clashes with rivals like Argentina, France, and England until semifinals or later. Recent March friendlies among qualified nations and playoff resolutions—such as Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname—yielded no major shocks, preserving a tightly bunched top tier where England (13%), France (11%), and Argentina (10%) trail closely amid balanced CONMEBOL and UEFA paths. The expanded 48-team format amplifies upset potential from dark horses like Norway (Haaland-led) and Colombia, while defending Copa América champions Argentina eye a Messi farewell run despite his advancing age.

Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, and favorable group draw that delays clashes with rivals like Argentina, France, and England until semifinals or later. Recent March friendlies among qualified nations and playoff resolutions—such as Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname—yielded no major shocks, preserving a tightly bunched top tier where England (13%), France (11%), and Argentina (10%) trail closely amid balanced CONMEBOL and UEFA paths. The expanded 48-team format amplifies upset potential from dark horses like Norway (Haaland-led) and Colombia, while defending Copa América champions Argentina eye a Messi farewell run despite his advancing age.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026 " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 43+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "España" con 16%, seguido de "Inglaterra" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 16¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026 " ha generado $425.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026 ", explora los 43+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026 " es "España" con 16%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Inglaterra" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026 " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.