Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, top FIFA ranking, and seamless qualification through UEFA, where they topped their group early. England (12.8%) and France (11.1%) trail closely, with the Three Lions boasting depth despite inconsistent finals form and Les Bleus gaining momentum from a 2-1 friendly win over Brazil last week. Defending champions Argentina (9.8%) and Brazil (8.6%) remain viable amid Messi's experience and South American pedigree, but the race stays tight due to the expanded 48-team field, balanced group draw separating elites until knockouts, and parity revealed in March friendlies and playoff finales like Italy's advancement, underscoring upset potential in the North American-hosted tournament starting June 11.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEspaña 15.8%
Inglaterra 12.8%
Francia 11.1%
Argentina 9.8%
$419,413,018 Vol.
$419,413,018 Vol.
España
16%
Inglaterra
13%
Francia
11%
Argentina
10%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Italia
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
España 15.8%
Inglaterra 12.8%
Francia 11.1%
Argentina 9.8%
$419,413,018 Vol.
$419,413,018 Vol.
España
16%
Inglaterra
13%
Francia
11%
Argentina
10%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Italia
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, top FIFA ranking, and seamless qualification through UEFA, where they topped their group early. England (12.8%) and France (11.1%) trail closely, with the Three Lions boasting depth despite inconsistent finals form and Les Bleus gaining momentum from a 2-1 friendly win over Brazil last week. Defending champions Argentina (9.8%) and Brazil (8.6%) remain viable amid Messi's experience and South American pedigree, but the race stays tight due to the expanded 48-team field, balanced group draw separating elites until knockouts, and parity revealed in March friendlies and playoff finales like Italy's advancement, underscoring upset potential in the North American-hosted tournament starting June 11.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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