Spain tops trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup as world No. 1 in FIFA rankings, riding Euro 2024 glory, a perfect UEFA qualification record, and recent friendly cruises that highlight their blend of Rodri's midfield control, Yamal's flair, and defensive solidity. France trails closely after a resilient 2-1 friendly win over Brazil—Mbappé scoring despite a red card—and a 3-1 thrashing of Colombia, affirming attacking depth. England drew Uruguay amid fan frustration, Argentina leans on Messi's experience post-Copa retention, and Brazil's loss exposes transitional woes. With top probabilities bunched amid balanced group draws and the expanded 48-team format's knockout volatility, the race stays fiercely competitive among these powerhouses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEspaña 16.4%
Inglaterra 12.5%
Francia 12.2%
Argentina 9.4%
$449,952,075 Vol.
$449,952,075 Vol.
España
16%
Inglaterra
13%
Francia
12%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
México
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
España 16.4%
Inglaterra 12.5%
Francia 12.2%
Argentina 9.4%
$449,952,075 Vol.
$449,952,075 Vol.
España
16%
Inglaterra
13%
Francia
12%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
México
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain tops trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup as world No. 1 in FIFA rankings, riding Euro 2024 glory, a perfect UEFA qualification record, and recent friendly cruises that highlight their blend of Rodri's midfield control, Yamal's flair, and defensive solidity. France trails closely after a resilient 2-1 friendly win over Brazil—Mbappé scoring despite a red card—and a 3-1 thrashing of Colombia, affirming attacking depth. England drew Uruguay amid fan frustration, Argentina leans on Messi's experience post-Copa retention, and Brazil's loss exposes transitional woes. With top probabilities bunched amid balanced group draws and the expanded 48-team format's knockout volatility, the race stays fiercely competitive among these powerhouses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes