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2025 February hottest on record?

Market icon

2025 February hottest on record?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$409,241 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$409,241 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior February when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for February 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for February, and if 2025 February is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 February is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior February when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for February 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for February, and if 2025 February is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 February is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volumen
$409,241
Fecha de finalización
Feb 28, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior February when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for February 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for February, and if 2025 February is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 February is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior February when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for February 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for February, and if 2025 February is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 February is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior February when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for February 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for February, and if 2025 February is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 February is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volumen
$409,241
Fecha de finalización
Feb 28, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior February when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for February 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for February, and if 2025 February is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 February is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"2025 February hottest on record?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "2025 February hottest on record?" ha generado $409.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 29, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "2025 February hottest on record?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "2025 February hottest on record?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "2025 February hottest on record?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.