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Politik·Tarife

Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?

Market icon
Politik·Tarife

Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$99,122 Vol.

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$99,122 Vol.

On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes the blanket "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 39 of the listed countries by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count. A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total. The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes the blanket "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 39 of the listed countries by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count.

A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total.

The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify.

Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Volumen
$99,122
Enddatum
30. Juni 2025
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2025, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes the blanket "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 39 of the listed countries by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count. A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total. The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes the blanket "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 39 of the listed countries by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count. A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total. The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes the blanket "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 39 of the listed countries by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count.

A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total.

The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify.

Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Volumen
$99,122
Enddatum
30. Juni 2025
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2025, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes the blanket "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 39 of the listed countries by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count. A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total. The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 100¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 100%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $99.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 3, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?" liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.