Wird die LDP bei den vorgezogenen Wahlen in Japan 2026 die Mehrheit gewinnen?
Wird die LDP bei den vorgezogenen Wahlen in Japan 2026 die Mehrheit gewinnen?
Ja
$272,710 Vol.
$272,710 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
Ja
$272,710 Vol.
$272,710 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) wins a majority of seats, at least 233, in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) wins a majority of seats, at least 233, in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) wins a majority of seats, at least 233, in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 20, 2026, 9:17 PM ET
Volumen
$272,710Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 20, 2026, 9:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) wins a majority of seats, at least 233, in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) wins a majority of seats, at least 233, in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) wins a majority of seats, at least 233, in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Volumen
$272,710Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 20, 2026, 9:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

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