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Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?

Market icon

Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$510 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$510 Vol.

On Oct 24, 2023 the California DMV announced they had suspended Cruise’s driverless taxis in SF, citing safety concerns (see https://x.com/Cruise/status/1716877217995894934?s=20).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cruise relaunches its driverless taxi operations in San Francisco by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “relaunch” requires Cruise to resume driverless operations in San Francisco, and does not include mere tests and demonstrations.

The resolution source will be information from Cruise, in addition to credible media reporting.
Volumen
$510
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2023
Erstellt am
Oct 24, 2023, 4:05 PM ET
On Oct 24, 2023 the California DMV announced they had suspended Cruise’s driverless taxis in SF, citing safety concerns (see https://x.com/Cruise/status/1716877217995894934?s=20). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cruise relaunches its driverless taxi operations in San Francisco by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “relaunch” requires Cruise to resume driverless operations in San Francisco, and does not include mere tests and demonstrations. The resolution source will be information from Cruise, in addition to credible media reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

On Oct 24, 2023 the California DMV announced they had suspended Cruise’s driverless taxis in SF, citing safety concerns (see https://x.com/Cruise/status/1716877217995894934?s=20).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cruise relaunches its driverless taxi operations in San Francisco by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “relaunch” requires Cruise to resume driverless operations in San Francisco, and does not include mere tests and demonstrations.

The resolution source will be information from Cruise, in addition to credible media reporting.
Volumen
$510
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2023
Erstellt am
Oct 24, 2023, 4:05 PM ET
On Oct 24, 2023 the California DMV announced they had suspended Cruise’s driverless taxis in SF, citing safety concerns (see https://x.com/Cruise/status/1716877217995894934?s=20). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cruise relaunches its driverless taxi operations in San Francisco by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “relaunch” requires Cruise to resume driverless operations in San Francisco, and does not include mere tests and demonstrations. The resolution source will be information from Cruise, in addition to credible media reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 24, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.