JD Vance leads trader consensus on Polymarket at around 40% implied probability to announce a presidential bid before 2027, driven by his vice-presidential role, Trump's public endorsement as a potential successor, and historical precedents where VPs like Bush and Nixon launched early campaigns. No major figures have formally declared yet, keeping markets sensitive to subtle signals like donor outreach or national tours—Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer trail Democrats at 15-20%. Recent Trump-Vance joint appearances post-election have boosted GOP-side sentiment, while Democratic disarray after 2024 losses tempers early moves. Watch 2025 state-of-the-union rhetoric and 2026 midterm positioning for catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?
Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?
$197,117 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
24%

J.D. Vance
19%

Brian Kemp
19%

Mark Kelly
18%

Pete Buttigieg
16%

Kristi Noem
16%

Gavin Newsom
16%

Kamala Harris
16%

Phil Murphy
11%

Nikki Haley
14%

Ron DeSantis
14%

Tucker Carlson
14%

Mark Cuban
14%

Jared Polis
14%

John Fetterman
13%

Tulsi Gabbard
13%

Elise Stefanik
12%

Gina Raimondo
12%

Wes Moore
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
12%

Steve Bannon
12%

Andrew Yang
11%

John Thune
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Ted Cruz
11%

Katie Britt
10%

Mike Pence
10%

J.B. Pritzker
10%

Beto O’Rourke
9%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

Jon Stewart
9%

Cory Booker
9%

Marco Rubio
9%

Rand Paul
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
9%

George Clooney
9%

Oprah Winfrey
9%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Liz Cheney
8%

Kim Kardashian
8%

Tom Brady
8%

Josh Hawley
7%

Greg Abbott
7%

Andy Beshear
7%

Chelsea Clinton
7%

Elon Musk
7%

Stephen A. Smith
7%

Hillary Clinton
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

Josh Shapiro
7%

Bernie Sanders
7%

Byron Donalds
7%

Ivanka Trump
7%

Donald Trump
6%

Roy Cooper
6%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Tim Walz
6%

Hunter Biden
5%

Erika Kirk
4%

Michelle Obama
4%

Barack Obama
4%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

MrBeast
3%

LeBron James
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
50%

Candace Owens
40%
$197,117 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
24%

J.D. Vance
19%

Brian Kemp
19%

Mark Kelly
18%

Pete Buttigieg
16%

Kristi Noem
16%

Gavin Newsom
16%

Kamala Harris
16%

Phil Murphy
11%

Nikki Haley
14%

Ron DeSantis
14%

Tucker Carlson
14%

Mark Cuban
14%

Jared Polis
14%

John Fetterman
13%

Tulsi Gabbard
13%

Elise Stefanik
12%

Gina Raimondo
12%

Wes Moore
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
12%

Steve Bannon
12%

Andrew Yang
11%

John Thune
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Ted Cruz
11%

Katie Britt
10%

Mike Pence
10%

J.B. Pritzker
10%

Beto O’Rourke
9%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

Jon Stewart
9%

Cory Booker
9%

Marco Rubio
9%

Rand Paul
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
9%

George Clooney
9%

Oprah Winfrey
9%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Liz Cheney
8%

Kim Kardashian
8%

Tom Brady
8%

Josh Hawley
7%

Greg Abbott
7%

Andy Beshear
7%

Chelsea Clinton
7%

Elon Musk
7%

Stephen A. Smith
7%

Hillary Clinton
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

Josh Shapiro
7%

Bernie Sanders
7%

Byron Donalds
7%

Ivanka Trump
7%

Donald Trump
6%

Roy Cooper
6%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Tim Walz
6%

Hunter Biden
5%

Erika Kirk
4%

Michelle Obama
4%

Barack Obama
4%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

MrBeast
3%

LeBron James
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
50%

Candace Owens
40%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...JD Vance leads trader consensus on Polymarket at around 40% implied probability to announce a presidential bid before 2027, driven by his vice-presidential role, Trump's public endorsement as a potential successor, and historical precedents where VPs like Bush and Nixon launched early campaigns. No major figures have formally declared yet, keeping markets sensitive to subtle signals like donor outreach or national tours—Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer trail Democrats at 15-20%. Recent Trump-Vance joint appearances post-election have boosted GOP-side sentiment, while Democratic disarray after 2024 losses tempers early moves. Watch 2025 state-of-the-union rhetoric and 2026 midterm positioning for catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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