Trader consensus on "No" at 100% stems from the March 31st deadline expiring without any official appointment of Clavicular—an obscure internet meme figure from looksmaxxing subcultures—as Iran's Supreme Leader, following Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026. Iranian state media confirmed Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, as successor on March 8th via the Assembly of Experts' vote, locking in the outcome amid geopolitical upheaval from U.S.-Israeli strikes. This viral Polymarket novelty, sparked by online absurdity, drew $239K in volume but collapsed under verified reporting. Post-deadline, no realistic upsets remain, as resolution criteria demand public announcement by the cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Clavicular bis zum 31. März der nächste Oberste Führer des Iran sein?
Wird Clavicular bis zum 31. März der nächste Oberste Führer des Iran sein?
Ja
$1,138,669 Vol.
$1,138,669 Vol.
Ja
$1,138,669 Vol.
$1,138,669 Vol.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 10, 2026, 8:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on "No" at 100% stems from the March 31st deadline expiring without any official appointment of Clavicular—an obscure internet meme figure from looksmaxxing subcultures—as Iran's Supreme Leader, following Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026. Iranian state media confirmed Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, as successor on March 8th via the Assembly of Experts' vote, locking in the outcome amid geopolitical upheaval from U.S.-Israeli strikes. This viral Polymarket novelty, sparked by online absurdity, drew $239K in volume but collapsed under verified reporting. Post-deadline, no realistic upsets remain, as resolution criteria demand public announcement by the cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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