Trader sentiment on Polymarket centers on Robinhood Markets (HOOD) as the frontrunner at 28% implied probability for Q1 2026 S&P 500 addition, driven by its float-adjusted market cap exceeding $42 billion, GAAP profitability streak, and surging trading volumes from crypto and equities rallies. DoorDash (DASH) trails at 22%, buoyed by 25% YoY revenue growth and $60 billion cap, while Coinbase (COIN) sits at 15% amid Bitcoin's surge past $100,000. S&P Dow Jones committee weighs $20.5 billion cap threshold, liquidity, and sector balance; March 20, 2026 rebalance effective date looms, with Q4 2025 earnings as pivotal catalysts amid AI-fueled cap expansions. Odds reflect real-money consensus but embed selection uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWelche Unternehmen wurden im ersten Quartal 2026 in den S&P 500 aufgenommen?
Welche Unternehmen wurden im ersten Quartal 2026 in den S&P 500 aufgenommen?
$904,720 Vol.

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
1%

Pure Storage (PSTG)
1%

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
1%

Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
1%

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
1%
$904,720 Vol.

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
1%

Pure Storage (PSTG)
1%

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
1%

Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
1%

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 17, 2025, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket centers on Robinhood Markets (HOOD) as the frontrunner at 28% implied probability for Q1 2026 S&P 500 addition, driven by its float-adjusted market cap exceeding $42 billion, GAAP profitability streak, and surging trading volumes from crypto and equities rallies. DoorDash (DASH) trails at 22%, buoyed by 25% YoY revenue growth and $60 billion cap, while Coinbase (COIN) sits at 15% amid Bitcoin's surge past $100,000. S&P Dow Jones committee weighs $20.5 billion cap threshold, liquidity, and sector balance; March 20, 2026 rebalance effective date looms, with Q4 2025 earnings as pivotal catalysts amid AI-fueled cap expansions. Odds reflect real-money consensus but embed selection uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen