Congress passed full-year appropriations bills on March 23, averting a government shutdown and securing Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding through September 30 amid disputes over border security measures. With no active shutdown or imminent funding lapse like a continuing resolution deadline, trader consensus clusters tightly around mid-April date ranges at roughly equal implied probabilities, driven by uncertainty over potential partisan holdouts on DHS priorities such as immigration enforcement and ICE operations. Upcoming House or Senate votes on supplemental border aid, or escalation in debt ceiling talks, could separate frontrunners; conversely, bipartisan executive action or quick appropriations adjustments might accelerate resolution toward earlier buckets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert9.–12. April 30%
13.–16. April 30%
17.–20. April 30%
Vor dem 1. April 29%
$11,470 Vol.
$11,470 Vol.
Vor dem 1. April
29%
1.–4. April
24%
5.–8. April
28%
9.–12. April
30%
13.–16. April
30%
17.–20. April
30%
21.–24. April
28%
25.–28. April
15%
29.–30. April
16%
Nach dem 30. April
24%
9.–12. April 30%
13.–16. April 30%
17.–20. April 30%
Vor dem 1. April 29%
$11,470 Vol.
$11,470 Vol.
Vor dem 1. April
29%
1.–4. April
24%
5.–8. April
28%
9.–12. April
30%
13.–16. April
30%
17.–20. April
30%
21.–24. April
28%
25.–28. April
15%
29.–30. April
16%
Nach dem 30. April
24%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Congress passed full-year appropriations bills on March 23, averting a government shutdown and securing Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding through September 30 amid disputes over border security measures. With no active shutdown or imminent funding lapse like a continuing resolution deadline, trader consensus clusters tightly around mid-April date ranges at roughly equal implied probabilities, driven by uncertainty over potential partisan holdouts on DHS priorities such as immigration enforcement and ICE operations. Upcoming House or Senate votes on supplemental border aid, or escalation in debt ceiling talks, could separate frontrunners; conversely, bipartisan executive action or quick appropriations adjustments might accelerate resolution toward earlier buckets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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