Traders overwhelmingly expect the DHS shutdown to end before April 1, reflecting optimism from recent bipartisan negotiations yielding a framework for a continuing resolution to restore funding. House Speaker Mike Johnson announced plans for a floor vote as early as this week following weekend talks that bridged gaps on spending cuts and border security priorities, despite initial conservative pushback. The Senate is poised to act quickly post-House passage, averting deeper disruptions to Department of Homeland Security operations like immigration enforcement and disaster response. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where short-term CRs resolve shutdowns rapidly once leadership aligns, though holdouts or amendments could push timelines into early April.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertVor dem 1. April 75%
Nach dem 30. April 6%
13.–16. April 6%
9.–12. April 5%
$41,530 Vol.
$41,530 Vol.
Vor dem 1. April
75%
1.–4. April
5%
5.–8. April
5%
9.–12. April
5%
13.–16. April
6%
17.–20. April
5%
21.–24. April
4%
25.–28. April
4%
29.–30. April
3%
Nach dem 30. April
6%
Vor dem 1. April 75%
Nach dem 30. April 6%
13.–16. April 6%
9.–12. April 5%
$41,530 Vol.
$41,530 Vol.
Vor dem 1. April
75%
1.–4. April
5%
5.–8. April
5%
9.–12. April
5%
13.–16. April
6%
17.–20. April
5%
21.–24. April
4%
25.–28. April
4%
29.–30. April
3%
Nach dem 30. April
6%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly expect the DHS shutdown to end before April 1, reflecting optimism from recent bipartisan negotiations yielding a framework for a continuing resolution to restore funding. House Speaker Mike Johnson announced plans for a floor vote as early as this week following weekend talks that bridged gaps on spending cuts and border security priorities, despite initial conservative pushback. The Senate is poised to act quickly post-House passage, averting deeper disruptions to Department of Homeland Security operations like immigration enforcement and disaster response. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where short-term CRs resolve shutdowns rapidly once leadership aligns, though holdouts or amendments could push timelines into early April.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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