Market icon
Economy·Gehäuse·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Economy·Gehäuse·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

1.19 - 1.208m 40%

1.172 - 1.19m 32%

1.208 - 1.226m 18%

<1.154m 8%

Polymarket
NEU

1.19 - 1.208m 40%

1.172 - 1.19m 32%

1.208 - 1.226m 18%

<1.154m 8%

Polymarket
NEU

<1.154m

$38 Vol.

8%

1.154 - 1.172m

$38 Vol.

6%

1.172 - 1.19m

$398 Vol.

32%

1.19 - 1.208m

$38 Vol.

24%

1.208 - 1.226m

$38 Vol.

18%

1.226 - 1.244m

$38 Vol.

8%

1.244 - 1.262m

$38 Vol.

8%

>1.262m

$38 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro area's median home value near $1.18 million by April 30, with the 1.172–1.19 million bin holding a 31.5% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting uncertainty in spring momentum. February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) stabilized around $1.18 million, buoyed by robust tech sector demand and inventory levels down roughly 40% year-over-year in San Francisco proper, driving rapid sales in under two weeks despite 30-year mortgage rates climbing to 6.46%. Key swing factors include March ZHVI data release—expected soon—and April peak-season listings, which could tip modest appreciation against affordability headwinds from elevated rates.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Volumen
$666
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro area's median home value near $1.18 million by April 30, with the 1.172–1.19 million bin holding a 31.5% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting uncertainty in spring momentum. February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) stabilized around $1.18 million, buoyed by robust tech sector demand and inventory levels down roughly 40% year-over-year in San Francisco proper, driving rapid sales in under two weeks despite 30-year mortgage rates climbing to 6.46%. Key swing factors include March ZHVI data release—expected soon—and April peak-season listings, which could tip modest appreciation against affordability headwinds from elevated rates.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Volumen
$666
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1.172 - 1.19m" mit 32%, gefolgt von „1.19 - 1.208m" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 32¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 32% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Mar 30, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" ist „1.172 - 1.19m" mit 32%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 32% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „1.19 - 1.208m" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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