Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

>99% chance

$74,935 Umsatz

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US president, US secretary of state or official statements from the White House officially call for Israel to establish a ceasefire between themselves and Hamas in Gaza between January 18, 2023 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, calls for a humanitarian pause will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US president, US secretary of state, the White House, and/or their official representatives.
Volumen
$74,935
Enddatum
Feb 29, 2024
Erstellt am
Jan 19, 2024, 4:53 PM ET

Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: Yes

Kein Widerspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

>99% chance

$74,935 Umsatz

Über

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US president, US secretary of state or official statements from the White House officially call for Israel to establish a ceasefire between themselves and Hamas in Gaza between January 18, 2023 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, calls for a humanitarian pause will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US president, US secretary of state, the White House, and/or their official representatives.
Volumen
$74,935
Enddatum
Feb 29, 2024
Erstellt am
Jan 19, 2024, 4:53 PM ET

Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: Yes

Kein Widerspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht vor externen Links.