Polymarket traders price a 57% implied probability for no change in the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) repo rate at its May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, following the unanimous March 26 decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid heightened global uncertainties and upside inflation risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 3.0% year-on-year—within the 3-6% target band—yet SARB Governor Lesetja Kganyago emphasized vigilance on fiscal deficit widening to 4.3% of GDP and rand volatility, elevating hike odds to 30%. Cut probability trails at 16.5%, constrained by modest 1.6% GDP growth forecasts and persistent 32% unemployment, with April CPI data as the next key catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKeine Änderung 54%
Erhöhung 33%
Senkung 17%
NEW
NEW
May 28, 2026
Senkung
17%
Keine Änderung
54%
Erhöhung
33%
Keine Änderung 54%
Erhöhung 33%
Senkung 17%
NEW
NEW
May 28, 2026
Senkung
$814 Vol.
17%
Keine Änderung
$1,277 Vol.
54%
Erhöhung
$789 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 57% implied probability for no change in the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) repo rate at its May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, following the unanimous March 26 decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid heightened global uncertainties and upside inflation risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 3.0% year-on-year—within the 3-6% target band—yet SARB Governor Lesetja Kganyago emphasized vigilance on fiscal deficit widening to 4.3% of GDP and rand volatility, elevating hike odds to 30%. Cut probability trails at 16.5%, constrained by modest 1.6% GDP growth forecasts and persistent 32% unemployment, with April CPI data as the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
Volumen
$2,878Enddatum
May 28, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 57% implied probability for no change in the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) repo rate at its May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, following the unanimous March 26 decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid heightened global uncertainties and upside inflation risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 3.0% year-on-year—within the 3-6% target band—yet SARB Governor Lesetja Kganyago emphasized vigilance on fiscal deficit widening to 4.3% of GDP and rand volatility, elevating hike odds to 30%. Cut probability trails at 16.5%, constrained by modest 1.6% GDP growth forecasts and persistent 32% unemployment, with April CPI data as the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$2,878Enddatum
May 28, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 57% implied probability for no change in the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) repo rate at its May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, following the unanimous March 26 decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid heightened global uncertainties and upside inflation risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 3.0% year-on-year—within the 3-6% target band—yet SARB Governor Lesetja Kganyago emphasized vigilance on fiscal deficit widening to 4.3% of GDP and rand volatility, elevating hike odds to 30%. Cut probability trails at 16.5%, constrained by modest 1.6% GDP growth forecasts and persistent 32% unemployment, with April CPI data as the next key catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen