Recent heavy rain from a nationwide frontal system on April 3-4 delivered 10-20mm to Seoul, per Korea Meteorological Administration advisories, elevating early-month totals and bolstering market-implied odds for 55-60mm (29.5%) and 75mm+ (29.5%) outcomes. This early boost differentiates higher bins from lower ones like 40-45mm (25%), amid historical April climatological averages of ~65mm with high variability driven by migratory cyclones and East Asian monsoon precursors. ENSO-neutral conditions favor typical precipitation, but forecast model ensembles diverge on late-April showers tied to jet stream waviness and cherry blossom cold fronts. Traders await KMA weekly outlooks and ECMWF updates, as remaining ~26 days hold key uncertainty for resolution near the longstanding mean.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
75 mm+ 34%
55-60 mm 30%
65-70 mm 18%
60-65mm 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Apr. 2026
<40 mm
20%
40-45mm
26%
45-50 mm
17%
50-55mm
15%
55-60 mm
30%
60-65mm
17%
65-70 mm
18%
70-75 mm
13%
75 mm+
30%
75 mm+ 34%
55-60 mm 30%
65-70 mm 18%
60-65mm 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Apr. 2026
<40 mm
$79 Vol.
20%
40-45mm
$52 Vol.
26%
45-50 mm
$128 Vol.
17%
50-55mm
$791 Vol.
15%
55-60 mm
$118 Vol.
30%
60-65mm
$79 Vol.
17%
65-70 mm
$163 Vol.
18%
70-75 mm
$74 Vol.
13%
75 mm+
$369 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rain from a nationwide frontal system on April 3-4 delivered 10-20mm to Seoul, per Korea Meteorological Administration advisories, elevating early-month totals and bolstering market-implied odds for 55-60mm (29.5%) and 75mm+ (29.5%) outcomes. This early boost differentiates higher bins from lower ones like 40-45mm (25%), amid historical April climatological averages of ~65mm with high variability driven by migratory cyclones and East Asian monsoon precursors. ENSO-neutral conditions favor typical precipitation, but forecast model ensembles diverge on late-April showers tied to jet stream waviness and cherry blossom cold fronts. Traders await KMA weekly outlooks and ECMWF updates, as remaining ~26 days hold key uncertainty for resolution near the longstanding mean.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,854Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rain from a nationwide frontal system on April 3-4 delivered 10-20mm to Seoul, per Korea Meteorological Administration advisories, elevating early-month totals and bolstering market-implied odds for 55-60mm (29.5%) and 75mm+ (29.5%) outcomes. This early boost differentiates higher bins from lower ones like 40-45mm (25%), amid historical April climatological averages of ~65mm with high variability driven by migratory cyclones and East Asian monsoon precursors. ENSO-neutral conditions favor typical precipitation, but forecast model ensembles diverge on late-April showers tied to jet stream waviness and cherry blossom cold fronts. Traders await KMA weekly outlooks and ECMWF updates, as remaining ~26 days hold key uncertainty for resolution near the longstanding mean.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,854Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rain from a nationwide frontal system on April 3-4 delivered 10-20mm to Seoul, per Korea Meteorological Administration advisories, elevating early-month totals and bolstering market-implied odds for 55-60mm (29.5%) and 75mm+ (29.5%) outcomes. This early boost differentiates higher bins from lower ones like 40-45mm (25%), amid historical April climatological averages of ~65mm with high variability driven by migratory cyclones and East Asian monsoon precursors. ENSO-neutral conditions favor typical precipitation, but forecast model ensembles diverge on late-April showers tied to jet stream waviness and cherry blossom cold fronts. Traders await KMA weekly outlooks and ECMWF updates, as remaining ~26 days hold key uncertainty for resolution near the longstanding mean.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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