Trader sentiment on Seoul's April precipitation remains tightly clustered across 45-75mm bins, with 75mm+ edging at 35% implied probability, reflecting high uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) seasonal model ensembles that straddle the climatological average of about 73mm. As the month begins with negligible rainfall on April 1 amid mostly cloudy conditions and 20% precipitation odds, early dryness heightens variability from frontal passages and Yellow Sea moisture influxes, compounded by the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition that weakly correlates with spring totals. Differentiating higher outcomes are potential intensified low-pressure systems from warmer-than-normal 2026 temperatures boosting atmospheric moisture, versus drier scenarios from persistent high-pressure ridges; watch KMA mid-range updates and ECMWF ensemble shifts for resolution cues by mid-month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
75 mm+ 45%
<40 mm 26%
40-45mm 24%
50-55mm 21%
NEU
NEU
30. Apr. 2026
<40 mm
27%
40-45mm
24%
45-50 mm
29%
50-55mm
29%
55-60 mm
29%
60-65mm
29%
65-70 mm
28%
70-75 mm
30%
75 mm+
38%
75 mm+ 45%
<40 mm 26%
40-45mm 24%
50-55mm 21%
NEU
NEU
30. Apr. 2026
<40 mm
$22 Vol.
27%
40-45mm
$22 Vol.
24%
45-50 mm
$48 Vol.
29%
50-55mm
$755 Vol.
29%
55-60 mm
$64 Vol.
29%
60-65mm
$38 Vol.
29%
65-70 mm
$115 Vol.
28%
70-75 mm
$43 Vol.
30%
75 mm+
$338 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Seoul's April precipitation remains tightly clustered across 45-75mm bins, with 75mm+ edging at 35% implied probability, reflecting high uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) seasonal model ensembles that straddle the climatological average of about 73mm. As the month begins with negligible rainfall on April 1 amid mostly cloudy conditions and 20% precipitation odds, early dryness heightens variability from frontal passages and Yellow Sea moisture influxes, compounded by the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition that weakly correlates with spring totals. Differentiating higher outcomes are potential intensified low-pressure systems from warmer-than-normal 2026 temperatures boosting atmospheric moisture, versus drier scenarios from persistent high-pressure ridges; watch KMA mid-range updates and ECMWF ensemble shifts for resolution cues by mid-month.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,444Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Seoul's April precipitation remains tightly clustered across 45-75mm bins, with 75mm+ edging at 35% implied probability, reflecting high uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) seasonal model ensembles that straddle the climatological average of about 73mm. As the month begins with negligible rainfall on April 1 amid mostly cloudy conditions and 20% precipitation odds, early dryness heightens variability from frontal passages and Yellow Sea moisture influxes, compounded by the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition that weakly correlates with spring totals. Differentiating higher outcomes are potential intensified low-pressure systems from warmer-than-normal 2026 temperatures boosting atmospheric moisture, versus drier scenarios from persistent high-pressure ridges; watch KMA mid-range updates and ECMWF ensemble shifts for resolution cues by mid-month.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,444Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Seoul's April precipitation remains tightly clustered across 45-75mm bins, with 75mm+ edging at 35% implied probability, reflecting high uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) seasonal model ensembles that straddle the climatological average of about 73mm. As the month begins with negligible rainfall on April 1 amid mostly cloudy conditions and 20% precipitation odds, early dryness heightens variability from frontal passages and Yellow Sea moisture influxes, compounded by the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition that weakly correlates with spring totals. Differentiating higher outcomes are potential intensified low-pressure systems from warmer-than-normal 2026 temperatures boosting atmospheric moisture, versus drier scenarios from persistent high-pressure ridges; watch KMA mid-range updates and ECMWF ensemble shifts for resolution cues by mid-month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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