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Number of TSA Passengers April 3?

Market icon

Number of TSA Passengers April 3?

<3.0M 99.1%

3.0M-3.2M 1.3%

3.2M-3.4M <1%

>3.8M <1%

Polymarket
NEU

<3.0M 99.1%

3.0M-3.2M 1.3%

3.2M-3.4M <1%

>3.8M <1%

Polymarket
NEU

<3.0M

$138 Vol.

99%

3.0M-3.2M

$31 Vol.

1%

3.2M-3.4M

$424 Vol.

<1%

3.4M-3.6M

$344 Vol.

<1%

3.6M-3.8M

$373 Vol.

<1%

>3.8M

$567 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 at 97.8% implied probability, driven by recent daily volumes consistently below this threshold amid a post-spring break lull. Official TSA data shows March 31 at a low 2.15 million, March 30 at 2.53 million, and a last-week average of 2.53 million—down year-over-year despite earlier record projections of 2.8 million daily for the season. Spring break peaks topped out around 2.8 million in late March, but weekdays have trended lower, pressured by government shutdown staffing strains now easing with back pay. An upset would require an unanticipated Easter prelude surge on Thursday ahead of Good Friday (April 4) and Easter Sunday (April 5), though historical patterns favor weekend spikes.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$1,878
Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 at 97.8% implied probability, driven by recent daily volumes consistently below this threshold amid a post-spring break lull. Official TSA data shows March 31 at a low 2.15 million, March 30 at 2.53 million, and a last-week average of 2.53 million—down year-over-year despite earlier record projections of 2.8 million daily for the season. Spring break peaks topped out around 2.8 million in late March, but weekdays have trended lower, pressured by government shutdown staffing strains now easing with back pay. An upset would require an unanticipated Easter prelude surge on Thursday ahead of Good Friday (April 4) and Easter Sunday (April 5), though historical patterns favor weekend spikes.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$1,878
Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Number of TSA Passengers April 3?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<3.0M" mit 99%, gefolgt von „3.0M-3.2M" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Number of TSA Passengers April 3?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Mar 30, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Number of TSA Passengers April 3?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Number of TSA Passengers April 3?" ist „<3.0M" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „3.0M-3.2M" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Number of TSA Passengers April 3?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.