Market icon

Nichts passiert jemals: Januar

Market icon

Nichts passiert jemals: Januar

Ja

<1% chance
Polymarket

$388,647 Vol.

Ja

<1% chance
Polymarket

$388,647 Vol.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

- Another US government shutdown
- Fed Rate Cut
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela
- U.S. invades a Latin American country
- US strike on Cuba
- US strike on Colombia
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf
Volumen
$388,647
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 6, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Another US government shutdown - Fed Rate Cut - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela - U.S. invades a Latin American country - US strike on Cuba - US strike on Colombia - Nicolás Maduro released from custody Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

- Another US government shutdown
- Fed Rate Cut
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela
- U.S. invades a Latin American country
- US strike on Cuba
- US strike on Colombia
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf
Volumen
$388,647
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 6, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Another US government shutdown - Fed Rate Cut - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela - U.S. invades a Latin American country - US strike on Cuba - US strike on Colombia - Nicolás Maduro released from custody Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nichts passiert jemals: Januar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nichts passiert jemals: Januar" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nichts passiert jemals: Januar" has generated $388.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nichts passiert jemals: Januar," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Nichts passiert jemals: Januar" is "Nichts passiert jemals: Januar" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Nichts passiert jemals: Januar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.