Traders see the next Gemini Pro model launch as uncertain following Google’s May 2026 I/O event, which introduced the 3.5 Flash variant and Omni capabilities but delivered no new Pro release or firm timeline. This leaves the market evenly split across mid-June dates, reflecting Google’s pattern of iterative updates within the 3.x family after the February Gemini 3.1 Pro preview. Competitive pressure from other labs, ongoing refinements to reasoning and agentic features, and typical post-keynote developer rollout windows contribute to the spread. Key swing factors include any unannounced June API updates, benchmark releases, or executive statements that could accelerate or delay the next Pro model’s availability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert24. Juni 47%
17. Juni 30%
23. Juni 27%
4. Juni 4.6%
26. Juni
23%
13. Juni
2%
23. Juni
27%
24. Juni
24%
Am oder vor dem 2. Juni
4%
8. Juni
3%
10. Juni
22%
20. Juni
3%
3. Juni
4%
4. Juni
5%
5. Juni
4%
6. Juni
3%
15. Juni
1%
21. Juni
4%
25. Juni
28%
7. Juni
2%
9. Juni
1%
11. Juni
1%
12. Juni
28%
14. Juni
2%
16. Juni
30%
17. Juni
30%
18. Juni
28%
19. Juni
3%
30. Juni
28%
22. Juni
1%
27. Juni
4%
28. Juni
1%
29. Juni
1%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. Juni
3%
24. Juni 47%
17. Juni 30%
23. Juni 27%
4. Juni 4.6%
26. Juni
23%
13. Juni
2%
23. Juni
27%
24. Juni
24%
Am oder vor dem 2. Juni
4%
8. Juni
3%
10. Juni
22%
20. Juni
3%
3. Juni
4%
4. Juni
5%
5. Juni
4%
6. Juni
3%
15. Juni
1%
21. Juni
4%
25. Juni
28%
7. Juni
2%
9. Juni
1%
11. Juni
1%
12. Juni
28%
14. Juni
2%
16. Juni
30%
17. Juni
30%
18. Juni
28%
19. Juni
3%
30. Juni
28%
22. Juni
1%
27. Juni
4%
28. Juni
1%
29. Juni
1%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. Juni
3%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the next Gemini Pro model launch as uncertain following Google’s May 2026 I/O event, which introduced the 3.5 Flash variant and Omni capabilities but delivered no new Pro release or firm timeline. This leaves the market evenly split across mid-June dates, reflecting Google’s pattern of iterative updates within the 3.x family after the February Gemini 3.1 Pro preview. Competitive pressure from other labs, ongoing refinements to reasoning and agentic features, and typical post-keynote developer rollout windows contribute to the spread. Key swing factors include any unannounced June API updates, benchmark releases, or executive statements that could accelerate or delay the next Pro model’s availability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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