Trader consensus favors 51–60 "This is March" tweets from CBS college basketball insider Jon Rothstein at 36% implied probability, reflecting historical patterns where he averages around 55 during full March Madness brackets amid buzzer-beaters and upsets. With the NCAA Tournament past the Sweet 16 and entering Elite Eight matchups featuring volatile contenders like NC State and Purdue, recent second-round thrillers—such as Oakland's upset over Kentucky and Texas A&M's double-overtime win versus Houston—spiked his early count into the 20s, but traders expect moderated volume in higher-stakes games with stronger favorites. The 71–80 range at 25.6% gains traction from potential Final Four drama, while 81+ at 21% accounts for upset-heavy paths, though lower bins trail on precedent from calmer late stages. Bracket volatility and game pace remain key drivers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNCAA-Turnier: Anzahl der Rothstein "This is March" -Tweets
NCAA-Turnier: Anzahl der Rothstein "This is March" -Tweets
51–60 30%
71–80 24.9%
81+ 21%
61–70 12.4%
$26,743 Vol.
$26,743 Vol.
≤ 40
9%
41–50
14%
51–60
36%
61–70
12%
71–80
25%
81+
21%
51–60 30%
71–80 24.9%
81+ 21%
61–70 12.4%
$26,743 Vol.
$26,743 Vol.
≤ 40
9%
41–50
14%
51–60
36%
61–70
12%
71–80
25%
81+
21%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 51–60 "This is March" tweets from CBS college basketball insider Jon Rothstein at 36% implied probability, reflecting historical patterns where he averages around 55 during full March Madness brackets amid buzzer-beaters and upsets. With the NCAA Tournament past the Sweet 16 and entering Elite Eight matchups featuring volatile contenders like NC State and Purdue, recent second-round thrillers—such as Oakland's upset over Kentucky and Texas A&M's double-overtime win versus Houston—spiked his early count into the 20s, but traders expect moderated volume in higher-stakes games with stronger favorites. The 71–80 range at 25.6% gains traction from potential Final Four drama, while 81+ at 21% accounts for upset-heavy paths, though lower bins trail on precedent from calmer late stages. Bracket volatility and game pace remain key drivers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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