Trader consensus prices a No. 1 seed as the NCAA Tournament national champion at 48% implied probability, propelled by UConn and Purdue's commanding wins through the Elite Eight, including UConn's 77-52 rout of Illinois and Purdue's edge over Tennessee, underscoring their superior talent and experience in March Madness. The No. 3 seed trails at 36%, buoyed by historical top-tier seed performance despite early exits, while Nos. 2 and 4 seeds (33.5% and 33%) benefit from teams like Iowa State and Alabama showing matchup-proof form. Recent Cinderella surges, notably NC State's 11-seed upsets over Texas Tech and Duke lifting it to 24%, plus momentum for Nos. 5-7 seeds amid bracket chaos, reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing upset volatility into Final Four paths.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed
NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed
3 36%
2 34%
4 33%
6 33%
1
48%
2
34%
3
36%
4
33%
5
31%
6
33%
7
32%
9
6%
11
24%
3 36%
2 34%
4 33%
6 33%
1
48%
2
34%
3
36%
4
33%
5
31%
6
33%
7
32%
9
6%
11
24%
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a No. 1 seed as the NCAA Tournament national champion at 48% implied probability, propelled by UConn and Purdue's commanding wins through the Elite Eight, including UConn's 77-52 rout of Illinois and Purdue's edge over Tennessee, underscoring their superior talent and experience in March Madness. The No. 3 seed trails at 36%, buoyed by historical top-tier seed performance despite early exits, while Nos. 2 and 4 seeds (33.5% and 33%) benefit from teams like Iowa State and Alabama showing matchup-proof form. Recent Cinderella surges, notably NC State's 11-seed upsets over Texas Tech and Duke lifting it to 24%, plus momentum for Nos. 5-7 seeds amid bracket chaos, reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing upset volatility into Final Four paths.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen