Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

More hostages in Gaza freed before April?

Market icon

More hostages in Gaza freed before April?

0% chance
Polymarket

$23,375 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$23,375 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one more hostage is released or rescued in Gaza between March 1, 2024 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations/groups to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$23,375
Enddatum
Mar 31, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2024, 3:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one more hostage is released or rescued in Gaza between March 1, 2024 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations/groups to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one more hostage is released or rescued in Gaza between March 1, 2024 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations/groups to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$23,375
Enddatum
Mar 31, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2024, 3:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one more hostage is released or rescued in Gaza between March 1, 2024 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations/groups to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"More hostages in Gaza freed before April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "More hostages in Gaza freed before April?" has generated $23.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "More hostages in Gaza freed before April?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "More hostages in Gaza freed before April?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "More hostages in Gaza freed before April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.