Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Ranger Suárez a slim 22.6% implied probability edge over Tarik Skubal's 20.5% for the 2026 AL Cy Young, reflecting a tightly contested race among elite starters with proven ERAs under 3.00 from 2025. Suárez's January signing to Boston's rotation alongside Garrett Crochet—who posted an 18-5 record, 2.59 ERA, and 255 strikeouts last year—has fueled his lead, bolstered by his own 3.20 ERA campaign and solid Grapefruit League outings before World Baseball Classic duties. Skubal remains close as the established ace with back-to-back dominant seasons, while both logged 1-0, 0.00 ERA starts early. Health histories for Jacob deGrom and workload for high-inning arms like Crochet keep the field wide open, with prospects like Yankees' Cam Schlittler (eight strikeouts in his 2026 debut) adding upside volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMLB: AL Cy Young Gewinner 2026
MLB: AL Cy Young Gewinner 2026
Tarik Skubal 24%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Dylan Cease 12.6%
Jacob deGrom 11%
Tarik Skubal
24%
Garrett Crochet
12%
Jacob deGrom
11%
Cole Ragans
4%
Hunter Brown
7%
Max Fried
8%
Bryan Woo
9%
Logan Gilbert
5%
Kyle Bradish
5%
Joe Ryan
5%
Ranger Suarez
29%
Nathan Eovaldi
5%
Dylan Cease
12%
George Kirby
11%
Carlos Rodón
4%
Kevin Gausman
3%
MacKenzie Gore
5%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
2%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
5%
Cam Schlittler
8%
Gerrit Cole
4%
Tarik Skubal 24%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Dylan Cease 12.6%
Jacob deGrom 11%
Tarik Skubal
24%
Garrett Crochet
12%
Jacob deGrom
11%
Cole Ragans
4%
Hunter Brown
7%
Max Fried
8%
Bryan Woo
9%
Logan Gilbert
5%
Kyle Bradish
5%
Joe Ryan
5%
Ranger Suarez
29%
Nathan Eovaldi
5%
Dylan Cease
12%
George Kirby
11%
Carlos Rodón
4%
Kevin Gausman
3%
MacKenzie Gore
5%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
2%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
5%
Cam Schlittler
8%
Gerrit Cole
4%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Ranger Suárez a slim 22.6% implied probability edge over Tarik Skubal's 20.5% for the 2026 AL Cy Young, reflecting a tightly contested race among elite starters with proven ERAs under 3.00 from 2025. Suárez's January signing to Boston's rotation alongside Garrett Crochet—who posted an 18-5 record, 2.59 ERA, and 255 strikeouts last year—has fueled his lead, bolstered by his own 3.20 ERA campaign and solid Grapefruit League outings before World Baseball Classic duties. Skubal remains close as the established ace with back-to-back dominant seasons, while both logged 1-0, 0.00 ERA starts early. Health histories for Jacob deGrom and workload for high-inning arms like Crochet keep the field wide open, with prospects like Yankees' Cam Schlittler (eight strikeouts in his 2026 debut) adding upside volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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