Iran qualified for the FIFA World Cup 2026 via the AFC third-round group stage, securing direct entry alongside powerhouses like Japan and South Korea. However, participation hangs in balance amid escalating Middle East conflict, including US and Israeli airstrikes, the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and ongoing war disrupting logistics. Iran's Sports Ministry banned national teams from "hostile" nations like the US—host for Iran's three group games—prompting rejected FIFA requests to relocate to Mexico. While AFC confirms no withdrawal notice and officials insist "no one can exclude" them, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over potential voluntary pullout, FIFA monitoring, or forced absence before the June tournament, with historical precedents like Russia's Ukraine-related ban informing sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$176,664 Vol.
31. März
3%
April 30
25%
$176,664 Vol.
31. März
3%
April 30
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 1, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran qualified for the FIFA World Cup 2026 via the AFC third-round group stage, securing direct entry alongside powerhouses like Japan and South Korea. However, participation hangs in balance amid escalating Middle East conflict, including US and Israeli airstrikes, the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and ongoing war disrupting logistics. Iran's Sports Ministry banned national teams from "hostile" nations like the US—host for Iran's three group games—prompting rejected FIFA requests to relocate to Mexico. While AFC confirms no withdrawal notice and officials insist "no one can exclude" them, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over potential voluntary pullout, FIFA monitoring, or forced absence before the June tournament, with historical precedents like Russia's Ukraine-related ban informing sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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