This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis carry out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Houthi missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible may also be used.