Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on April 9 at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, driven by consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. April climatology reinforces this, with daily highs averaging 32°C and rarely dipping below 29°C due to Panama's equatorial position minimizing diurnal cooling. Current morning observations align with sunny conditions favoring rapid daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breeze suppressing peaks below 29°C, though model agreement yields low risk; monitor airport METAR updates through 4 p.m. local time for confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 9. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 9. April?
29°C oder höher 100.0%
19°C oder weniger <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$23,778 Vol.
$23,778 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Ja
29°C oder höher 100.0%
19°C oder weniger <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$23,778 Vol.
$23,778 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 5, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on April 9 at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, driven by consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. April climatology reinforces this, with daily highs averaging 32°C and rarely dipping below 29°C due to Panama's equatorial position minimizing diurnal cooling. Current morning observations align with sunny conditions favoring rapid daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breeze suppressing peaks below 29°C, though model agreement yields low risk; monitor airport METAR updates through 4 p.m. local time for confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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