INMET's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 29°C for São Paulo on April 18 under partly cloudy conditions with isolated shower risks, anchoring trader consensus at 66% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 30°C. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the low 20s°C amid light winds and moderate humidity around 70%, consistent with model runs from Climatempo and international sources like AccuWeather forecasting highs of 28–29°C (84°F equivalent). This positions outcomes above seasonal April norms of 26°C, influenced by a subtropical high-pressure ridge limiting cooling fronts. Uncertainty stems from potential thunderstorm development suppressing peaks or afternoon clearing boosting them; real-time data from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport will drive final resolution, with INMET updates expected through evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
30°C 96%
31°C 6.1%
32°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$60,345 Vol.
$60,345 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
96%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 96%
31°C 6.1%
32°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$60,345 Vol.
$60,345 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
96%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
INMET's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 29°C for São Paulo on April 18 under partly cloudy conditions with isolated shower risks, anchoring trader consensus at 66% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 30°C. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the low 20s°C amid light winds and moderate humidity around 70%, consistent with model runs from Climatempo and international sources like AccuWeather forecasting highs of 28–29°C (84°F equivalent). This positions outcomes above seasonal April norms of 26°C, influenced by a subtropical high-pressure ridge limiting cooling fronts. Uncertainty stems from potential thunderstorm development suppressing peaks or afternoon clearing boosting them; real-time data from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport will drive final resolution, with INMET updates expected through evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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