Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 14°C in London on April 11, backed by Met Office observational data showing Heathrow reaching 14.7°C as the UK's top maximum that day amid widespread cloud cover and light showers from a passing cool front. This followed an unusually warm early April spike—26.5°C at Kew Gardens on April 8, the hottest first-half April day since 1946—but southerly winds and Atlantic moisture capped potential warming, aligning with pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C. Historical early April averages hover around 13°C, making this outcome consistent with climatological norms post-heat anomaly. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions at stations like Northolt or London City Airport, though official records rarely shift post-validation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in London on April 11?
Highest temperature in London on April 11?
14°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$272,992 Vol.
$272,992 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$272,992 Vol.
$272,992 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
$74,023 Vol.
No
14°C
$37,257 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$41,811 Vol.
No
16°C
$20,697 Vol.
No
17°C
$15,154 Vol.
No
18°C
$13,099 Vol.
No
19°C
$9,494 Vol.
No
20°C
$16,622 Vol.
No
21°C
$14,375 Vol.
No
22°C
$14,014 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$16,444 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 14°C in London on April 11, backed by Met Office observational data showing Heathrow reaching 14.7°C as the UK's top maximum that day amid widespread cloud cover and light showers from a passing cool front. This followed an unusually warm early April spike—26.5°C at Kew Gardens on April 8, the hottest first-half April day since 1946—but southerly winds and Atlantic moisture capped potential warming, aligning with pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C. Historical early April averages hover around 13°C, making this outcome consistent with climatological norms post-heat anomaly. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions at stations like Northolt or London City Airport, though official records rarely shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$272,992Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 14°C in London on April 11, backed by Met Office observational data showing Heathrow reaching 14.7°C as the UK's top maximum that day amid widespread cloud cover and light showers from a passing cool front. This followed an unusually warm early April spike—26.5°C at Kew Gardens on April 8, the hottest first-half April day since 1946—but southerly winds and Atlantic moisture capped potential warming, aligning with pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C. Historical early April averages hover around 13°C, making this outcome consistent with climatological norms post-heat anomaly. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions at stations like Northolt or London City Airport, though official records rarely shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$272,992Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 14°C in London on April 11, backed by Met Office observational data showing Heathrow reaching 14.7°C as the UK's top maximum that day amid widespread cloud cover and light showers from a passing cool front. This followed an unusually warm early April spike—26.5°C at Kew Gardens on April 8, the hottest first-half April day since 1946—but southerly winds and Atlantic moisture capped potential warming, aligning with pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C. Historical early April averages hover around 13°C, making this outcome consistent with climatological norms post-heat anomaly. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions at stations like Northolt or London City Airport, though official records rarely shift post-validation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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