The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 11. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 11. April?
27°C 100.0%
20°C oder weniger <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$192,509 Vol.
$192,509 Vol.
20°C oder weniger
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
20°C oder weniger <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$192,509 Vol.
$192,509 Vol.
20°C oder weniger
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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