Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to the top of trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability following their commanding UMK 2026 victory on February 28, blending high-energy rock with broad jury and televote appeal that evokes Finland's recent strong showings. France's 17-year-old lyrical prodigy Monroe with the operatic "Regarde!"—unveiled March 6—ranks second at 13.1%, buoyed by its distinctive vocal drama and early buzz, while Denmark's emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund (Melodi Grand Prix winner February 14) holds third at 11.7%. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," announced March 1) and Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas add star power and streaming momentum, but with over a dozen national finals pending before Vienna's May 12-16 contest at Wiener Stadthalle, the field remains fluid amid evolving previews and rehearsals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision-Gewinner 2026
Eurovision-Gewinner 2026
Finnland 34.8%
Frankreich 13.1%
Dänemark 11.8%
Australien 8.2%
$45,452,792 Vol.
$45,452,792 Vol.

Finnland
35%

Frankreich
13%

Dänemark
12%

Australien
8%

Griechenland
7%

Israel
4%

Schweden
4%

Italien
3%

Ukraine
2%

Rumänien
2%

Malta
1%

Tschechien
1%

Zypern
1%

Bulgarien
1%

Deutschland
1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
1%

Belgien
1%

Kroatien
1%

Luxemburg
1%

Norwegen
1%

Serbien
1%

Schweiz
1%

Albanien
<1%

Lettland
<1%

Moldawien
<1%

Aserbaidschan
<1%

Litauen
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Estonia
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Armenien
<1%

Georgien
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Polen
<1%

Portugal
<1%
Finnland 34.8%
Frankreich 13.1%
Dänemark 11.8%
Australien 8.2%
$45,452,792 Vol.
$45,452,792 Vol.

Finnland
35%

Frankreich
13%

Dänemark
12%

Australien
8%

Griechenland
7%

Israel
4%

Schweden
4%

Italien
3%

Ukraine
2%

Rumänien
2%

Malta
1%

Tschechien
1%

Zypern
1%

Bulgarien
1%

Deutschland
1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
1%

Belgien
1%

Kroatien
1%

Luxemburg
1%

Norwegen
1%

Serbien
1%

Schweiz
1%

Albanien
<1%

Lettland
<1%

Moldawien
<1%

Aserbaidschan
<1%

Litauen
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Estonia
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Armenien
<1%

Georgien
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Polen
<1%

Portugal
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to the top of trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability following their commanding UMK 2026 victory on February 28, blending high-energy rock with broad jury and televote appeal that evokes Finland's recent strong showings. France's 17-year-old lyrical prodigy Monroe with the operatic "Regarde!"—unveiled March 6—ranks second at 13.1%, buoyed by its distinctive vocal drama and early buzz, while Denmark's emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund (Melodi Grand Prix winner February 14) holds third at 11.7%. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," announced March 1) and Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas add star power and streaming momentum, but with over a dozen national finals pending before Vienna's May 12-16 contest at Wiener Stadthalle, the field remains fluid amid evolving previews and rehearsals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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