Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 finishers remains speculative this far out, with implied probabilities anchored in historical patterns: perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, France, and Finland dominate due to robust national selections, televote appeal, and Big Five auto-qualification perks. No national finals or entries have been announced, as the contest host hinges on the 2025 Basel winner in May, potentially boosting that nation's odds. Recent 2025 selection buzz—such as Sweden's Melodifestivalen planning and early artist teases—hints at continuity for strong contenders, but upsets via viral songs or jury favorites are common. Key catalysts: 2025 grand final results and first 2026 national final reveals expected late 2025.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$56,997 Vol.

Finland
90%

Israel
86%

Denmark
79%

Greece
78%

France
76%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
70%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
25%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Germany
13%

Portugal
13%

Poland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Belgium
12%

Lithuania
11%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
9%

San Marino
8%

Estonia
8%

Austria
5%
$56,997 Vol.

Finland
90%

Israel
86%

Denmark
79%

Greece
78%

France
76%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
70%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
25%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Germany
13%

Portugal
13%

Poland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Belgium
12%

Lithuania
11%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
9%

San Marino
8%

Estonia
8%

Austria
5%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 finishers remains speculative this far out, with implied probabilities anchored in historical patterns: perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, France, and Finland dominate due to robust national selections, televote appeal, and Big Five auto-qualification perks. No national finals or entries have been announced, as the contest host hinges on the 2025 Basel winner in May, potentially boosting that nation's odds. Recent 2025 selection buzz—such as Sweden's Melodifestivalen planning and early artist teases—hints at continuity for strong contenders, but upsets via viral songs or jury favorites are common. Key catalysts: 2025 grand final results and first 2026 national final reveals expected late 2025.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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