Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's professional jury vote, driven by its consistent historical strength—top-five jury finishes in four of the last eight contests, thanks to polished pop productions and strong songwriters. France trails closely at 24%, bolstered by perennial ballad appeal and recent high jury placements like 2022's runner-up. Finland (15.5%) gains from 2024's viral televote surge with Windows95man, signaling production quality that juries reward, while Denmark (10%) rides Nordic reliability seen in 2023's strong showing. With the Basel 2025 contest just months away determining the 2026 host and previewing strategies, early odds reflect volatile sentiment amid unannounced national selections; key swing factors include emerging song previews and geopolitical narratives.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Jury-Sieger
Eurovision 2026: Jury-Sieger
Australien 32%
Frankreich 24%
Finnland 16%
Dänemark 10%
$506,662 Vol.
$506,662 Vol.
Australien
32%
Frankreich
24%
Finnland
16%
Dänemark
10%
Tschechien
2%
Malta
2%
Schweden
2%
Israel
1%
Kroatien
1%
Ukraine
1%
Bulgarien
1%
Lettland
1%
Österreich
1%
Deutschland
1%
Italien
1%
Moldawien
1%
Montenegro
1%
Portugal
1%
Griechenland
1%
Vereinigtes Königreich
1%
Zypern
<1%
Georgien
<1%
Polen
<1%
Albanien
<1%
Aserbaidschan
<1%
Armenien
<1%
Estland
<1%
Litauen
<1%
Luxemburg
<1%
Rumänien
<1%
Schweiz
<1%
Belgien
<1%
Norwegen
<1%
Serbien
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Australien 32%
Frankreich 24%
Finnland 16%
Dänemark 10%
$506,662 Vol.
$506,662 Vol.
Australien
32%
Frankreich
24%
Finnland
16%
Dänemark
10%
Tschechien
2%
Malta
2%
Schweden
2%
Israel
1%
Kroatien
1%
Ukraine
1%
Bulgarien
1%
Lettland
1%
Österreich
1%
Deutschland
1%
Italien
1%
Moldawien
1%
Montenegro
1%
Portugal
1%
Griechenland
1%
Vereinigtes Königreich
1%
Zypern
<1%
Georgien
<1%
Polen
<1%
Albanien
<1%
Aserbaidschan
<1%
Armenien
<1%
Estland
<1%
Litauen
<1%
Luxemburg
<1%
Rumänien
<1%
Schweiz
<1%
Belgien
<1%
Norwegen
<1%
Serbien
<1%
San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's professional jury vote, driven by its consistent historical strength—top-five jury finishes in four of the last eight contests, thanks to polished pop productions and strong songwriters. France trails closely at 24%, bolstered by perennial ballad appeal and recent high jury placements like 2022's runner-up. Finland (15.5%) gains from 2024's viral televote surge with Windows95man, signaling production quality that juries reward, while Denmark (10%) rides Nordic reliability seen in 2023's strong showing. With the Basel 2025 contest just months away determining the 2026 host and previewing strategies, early odds reflect volatile sentiment amid unannounced national selections; key swing factors include emerging song previews and geopolitical narratives.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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