Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the narrow jury frontrunner at 32.5% implied probability, propelled by Delta Goodrem's powerhouse vocals on "Eclipse"—a polished ballad echoing Australia's strong jury history like Dami Im's past runs—while France's Monroe trails closely at 27.5% with the operatic drama of "Regarde!", blending emotional depth and sophisticated staging potential that juries often reward. Finland's energetic "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen sits third at 12.5%, buoyed by its UMK jury backing but leaning more televote-heavy, and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's introspective "Før vi går hjem" holds 8.5% amid competitive Nordic entries. Recent national final completions in early March unlocked full previews, shifting odds toward vocal-centric acts; key swing factors include semi-final allocations and April rehearsals, as secret jury votes remain unpredictable per historical upsets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Jury-Sieger
Eurovision 2026: Jury-Sieger
Australien 33%
Frankreich 28%
Finnland 13%
Dänemark 9%
$597,252 Vol.
$597,252 Vol.
Australien
33%
Frankreich
28%
Finnland
13%
Dänemark
9%
Tschechien
2%
Schweden
2%
Malta
2%
Italien
2%
Kroatien
1%
Ukraine
1%
Lettland
1%
Israel
1%
Griechenland
1%
Serbien
1%
Bulgarien
1%
Deutschland
1%
Zypern
1%
Vereinigtes Königreich
1%
Österreich
1%
Moldawien
1%
Montenegro
1%
Portugal
1%
Albanien
1%
Georgien
<1%
Polen
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Belgien
<1%
Aserbaidschan
<1%
Armenien
<1%
Estland
<1%
Litauen
<1%
Luxemburg
<1%
Rumänien
<1%
Schweiz
<1%
Norwegen
<1%
Australien 33%
Frankreich 28%
Finnland 13%
Dänemark 9%
$597,252 Vol.
$597,252 Vol.
Australien
33%
Frankreich
28%
Finnland
13%
Dänemark
9%
Tschechien
2%
Schweden
2%
Malta
2%
Italien
2%
Kroatien
1%
Ukraine
1%
Lettland
1%
Israel
1%
Griechenland
1%
Serbien
1%
Bulgarien
1%
Deutschland
1%
Zypern
1%
Vereinigtes Königreich
1%
Österreich
1%
Moldawien
1%
Montenegro
1%
Portugal
1%
Albanien
1%
Georgien
<1%
Polen
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Belgien
<1%
Aserbaidschan
<1%
Armenien
<1%
Estland
<1%
Litauen
<1%
Luxemburg
<1%
Rumänien
<1%
Schweiz
<1%
Norwegen
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the narrow jury frontrunner at 32.5% implied probability, propelled by Delta Goodrem's powerhouse vocals on "Eclipse"—a polished ballad echoing Australia's strong jury history like Dami Im's past runs—while France's Monroe trails closely at 27.5% with the operatic drama of "Regarde!", blending emotional depth and sophisticated staging potential that juries often reward. Finland's energetic "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen sits third at 12.5%, buoyed by its UMK jury backing but leaning more televote-heavy, and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's introspective "Før vi går hjem" holds 8.5% amid competitive Nordic entries. Recent national final completions in early March unlocked full previews, shifting odds toward vocal-centric acts; key swing factors include semi-final allocations and April rehearsals, as secret jury votes remain unpredictable per historical upsets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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