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Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?

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Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$75,007 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$75,007 Vol.

Increasing public attention to American immigration policy has driven Republicans to ensure any potential Ukraine aid bill is paired with changes to US border law. A Ukraine aid / border deal was reportedly close to passing as of Jan 22 - however Donald Trump has publicly taken a hard stance against any compromise, jeopardizing the deal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill containing changes/funding to US border security and at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid.

Note: A bill that only contains Ukraine aid, or only contains changes to US border law will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - a bill containing both must be signed into law by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$75,007
Enddatum
Feb 9, 2024
Erstellt am
Jan 25, 2024, 7:57 PM ET
Increasing public attention to American immigration policy has driven Republicans to ensure any potential Ukraine aid bill is paired with changes to US border law. A Ukraine aid / border deal was reportedly close to passing as of Jan 22 - however Donald Trump has publicly taken a hard stance against any compromise, jeopardizing the deal. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill containing changes/funding to US border security and at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid. Note: A bill that only contains Ukraine aid, or only contains changes to US border law will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - a bill containing both must be signed into law by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Increasing public attention to American immigration policy has driven Republicans to ensure any potential Ukraine aid bill is paired with changes to US border law. A Ukraine aid / border deal was reportedly close to passing as of Jan 22 - however Donald Trump has publicly taken a hard stance against any compromise, jeopardizing the deal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill containing changes/funding to US border security and at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid.

Note: A bill that only contains Ukraine aid, or only contains changes to US border law will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - a bill containing both must be signed into law by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$75,007
Enddatum
Feb 9, 2024
Erstellt am
Jan 25, 2024, 7:57 PM ET
Increasing public attention to American immigration policy has driven Republicans to ensure any potential Ukraine aid bill is paired with changes to US border law. A Ukraine aid / border deal was reportedly close to passing as of Jan 22 - however Donald Trump has publicly taken a hard stance against any compromise, jeopardizing the deal. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill containing changes/funding to US border security and at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid. Note: A bill that only contains Ukraine aid, or only contains changes to US border law will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - a bill containing both must be signed into law by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?" has generated $75K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 26, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.