Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Clayton Johnson as the slight frontrunner at 28.8% implied probability for Bachelorette Season 22 winner, edging Aaron Kahng's 24.3% after a pivotal hometowns episode that showcased Clayton's emotional depth and family rapport, boosting his momentum amid fan buzz on social media. Aaron holds strong with physical chemistry and charm, but minor drama risks alienating voters, per reality TV patterns where frontrunners win 70% of recent seasons. Lower-tier contenders like Matt Carroll fade due to limited screen time, with fantasy suites next week as the key differentiator—expect volatility as alliances solidify before final rose ceremonies. Historical precedents favor early leaders post-hometowns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGewinner der Bachelorette-Saison 22
Gewinner der Bachelorette-Saison 22
Clayton Johnson 27.8%
Aaron Kahng 24.4%
Matt Carroll 8.8%
Doug Mason 6.7%
$65,364 Vol.
$65,364 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
28%
Aaron Kahng
24%
Matt Carroll
9%
Doug Mason
7%
Richard Van De Water
4%
Johnnie LaRossa
3%
Rod Strozier
3%
Christopher Wood
2%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson 27.8%
Aaron Kahng 24.4%
Matt Carroll 8.8%
Doug Mason 6.7%
$65,364 Vol.
$65,364 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
28%
Aaron Kahng
24%
Matt Carroll
9%
Doug Mason
7%
Richard Van De Water
4%
Johnnie LaRossa
3%
Rod Strozier
3%
Christopher Wood
2%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Clayton Johnson as the slight frontrunner at 28.8% implied probability for Bachelorette Season 22 winner, edging Aaron Kahng's 24.3% after a pivotal hometowns episode that showcased Clayton's emotional depth and family rapport, boosting his momentum amid fan buzz on social media. Aaron holds strong with physical chemistry and charm, but minor drama risks alienating voters, per reality TV patterns where frontrunners win 70% of recent seasons. Lower-tier contenders like Matt Carroll fade due to limited screen time, with fantasy suites next week as the key differentiator—expect volatility as alliances solidify before final rose ceremonies. Historical precedents favor early leaders post-hometowns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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