Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza at 97.4% implied probability for the 2026 NFL Draft's first overall pick, driven by the Las Vegas Raiders' secured No. 1 slot via worst record and glaring QB void under new OC Klint Kubiak. Mendoza's breakout 2025 season—Heisman Trophy, undefeated Hoosiers run to College Football Playoff national title, elite accuracy versus top secondaries like Ohio State and Alabama—has cemented him as undisputed QB1 on big boards from Kiper, Yates, and Simms. Post-combine mocks and pro days show no slippage, with Raiders already integrating him into their scheme. Realistic shifts require Raiders trading down for defensive help like Arvell Reese or a hidden medical red flag emerging pre-draft.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert2026 Pro Football Draft: Erste Gesamtauswahl
2026 Pro Football Draft: Erste Gesamtauswahl
Fernando Mendoza 97.5%
LaNorris Sellers <1%
Dante Moore <1%
Arvell Reese <1%
$584,086 Vol.
$584,086 Vol.
Fernando Mendoza
98%
LaNorris Sellers
1%
Dante Moore
1%
Arvell Reese
1%
Ty Simpson
<1%
Carson Beck
<1%
David Bailey
<1%
Conner Weigman
<1%
Spencer Fano
<1%
Garrett Nussmeier
<1%
Cade Klubnik
<1%
Jayden Maiava
<1%
Matayo Uiagalelei
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kyron Drones
<1%
Aidan Chiles
<1%
Jalon Daniels
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
Rueben Bain Jr
<1%
Miller Moss
<1%
Caleb Downs
<1%
Jordyn Tyson
<1%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
Arch Manning
<1%
Sam Leavitt
<1%
Peter Woods
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
Sawyer Robertson
<1%
Raylen Wilson
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
Drew Allar
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
John Mateer
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
Fernando Mendoza 97.5%
LaNorris Sellers <1%
Dante Moore <1%
Arvell Reese <1%
$584,086 Vol.
$584,086 Vol.
Fernando Mendoza
98%
LaNorris Sellers
1%
Dante Moore
1%
Arvell Reese
1%
Ty Simpson
<1%
Carson Beck
<1%
David Bailey
<1%
Conner Weigman
<1%
Spencer Fano
<1%
Garrett Nussmeier
<1%
Cade Klubnik
<1%
Jayden Maiava
<1%
Matayo Uiagalelei
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kyron Drones
<1%
Aidan Chiles
<1%
Jalon Daniels
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
Rueben Bain Jr
<1%
Miller Moss
<1%
Caleb Downs
<1%
Jordyn Tyson
<1%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
Arch Manning
<1%
Sam Leavitt
<1%
Peter Woods
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
Sawyer Robertson
<1%
Raylen Wilson
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
Drew Allar
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
John Mateer
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza at 97.4% implied probability for the 2026 NFL Draft's first overall pick, driven by the Las Vegas Raiders' secured No. 1 slot via worst record and glaring QB void under new OC Klint Kubiak. Mendoza's breakout 2025 season—Heisman Trophy, undefeated Hoosiers run to College Football Playoff national title, elite accuracy versus top secondaries like Ohio State and Alabama—has cemented him as undisputed QB1 on big boards from Kiper, Yates, and Simms. Post-combine mocks and pro days show no slippage, with Raiders already integrating him into their scheme. Realistic shifts require Raiders trading down for defensive help like Arvell Reese or a hidden medical red flag emerging pre-draft.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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