Carlos Alcaraz's dramatic four-set defeat of 10-time champion Novak Djokovic—2-6, 6-2, 6-3, 7-5—in the 2026 Australian Open men's singles final on February 1 cemented trader consensus at 100% implied probability for him as winner, completing his career Grand Slam as the youngest man to achieve it at age 22. The world No. 1 top seed leveraged his explosive baseline power and net prowess on Melbourne Park's hard courts, navigating a strong draw highlighted by wins over top contenders. Grigor Dimitrov's first-round loss to Tomas Machac accounts for his negligible 0.1% share. No developments have emerged in the two months since to challenge the official ATP-confirmed result, with reversal scenarios limited to extraordinary disputes or disqualifications.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGrigor Dimitrow <1%
$27,752,639 Vol.
$27,752,639 Vol.
Grigor Dimitrow
<1%
Grigor Dimitrow <1%
$27,752,639 Vol.
$27,752,639 Vol.
Grigor Dimitrow
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Carlos Alcaraz's dramatic four-set defeat of 10-time champion Novak Djokovic—2-6, 6-2, 6-3, 7-5—in the 2026 Australian Open men's singles final on February 1 cemented trader consensus at 100% implied probability for him as winner, completing his career Grand Slam as the youngest man to achieve it at age 22. The world No. 1 top seed leveraged his explosive baseline power and net prowess on Melbourne Park's hard courts, navigating a strong draw highlighted by wins over top contenders. Grigor Dimitrov's first-round loss to Tomas Machac accounts for his negligible 0.1% share. No developments have emerged in the two months since to challenge the official ATP-confirmed result, with reversal scenarios limited to extraordinary disputes or disqualifications.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen