Spain leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability following an unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign, recently capped by a 4-0 demolition of Bulgaria, extending momentum from their Euro 2024 triumph with stars like Lamine Yamal and Pedri in peak form. England (13%) and France (11%) trail closely on dominant showings, including England's 5-0 rout of Latvia and France's 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil via Kylian Mbappé's goal, highlighting deep squads and attacking firepower. Argentina (10%) banks on Lionel Messi's experience despite his advancing age, while Brazil (9%) contends with Rodrygo's early-March ACL rupture ruling him out. The tight clustering among top European and South American powers reflects qualification parity, stylistic versatility, and looming uncertainties in player fitness, group stage draws, and the expanded 48-team format's upset potential just months from kickoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSpanien 15.8%
England 12.8%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 11.1%
Argentinien 9.8%
$415,803,047 Vol.
$415,803,047 Vol.
Spanien
16%
England
13%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
11%
Argentinien
10%
Brasilien
9%
Portugal
7%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
3%
Italien
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Japan
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Schweiz
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Österreich
1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Australien
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Spanien 15.8%
England 12.8%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 11.1%
Argentinien 9.8%
$415,803,047 Vol.
$415,803,047 Vol.
Spanien
16%
England
13%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
11%
Argentinien
10%
Brasilien
9%
Portugal
7%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
3%
Italien
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Japan
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Schweiz
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Österreich
1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Australien
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability following an unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign, recently capped by a 4-0 demolition of Bulgaria, extending momentum from their Euro 2024 triumph with stars like Lamine Yamal and Pedri in peak form. England (13%) and France (11%) trail closely on dominant showings, including England's 5-0 rout of Latvia and France's 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil via Kylian Mbappé's goal, highlighting deep squads and attacking firepower. Argentina (10%) banks on Lionel Messi's experience despite his advancing age, while Brazil (9%) contends with Rodrygo's early-March ACL rupture ruling him out. The tight clustering among top European and South American powers reflects qualification parity, stylistic versatility, and looming uncertainties in player fitness, group stage draws, and the expanded 48-team format's upset potential just months from kickoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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