France's trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability stems from their eight-game unbeaten streak, capped by a gritty 2-1 friendly win over Brazil on Thursday despite Dayot Upamecano's red card, showcasing depth ahead of 2026 World Cup group play against Uzbekistan. Colombia's 18.5% reflects a snapped 12-month unbeaten run via a midweek loss to Croatia, though their third-place CONMEBOL qualifying finish keeps them competitive; key absences like Yerry Mina and Jhon Duran temper threats from Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez. The 23.5% draw pricing highlights friendly rotations—France without Jules Kounde, Bradley Barcola, and possibly Aurelien Tchouameni (bruised)—on neutral US soil at Northwest Stadium, where even head-to-head history (two wins apiece) adds upset potential.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

If Colombia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Colombia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...France's trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability stems from their eight-game unbeaten streak, capped by a gritty 2-1 friendly win over Brazil on Thursday despite Dayot Upamecano's red card, showcasing depth ahead of 2026 World Cup group play against Uzbekistan. Colombia's 18.5% reflects a snapped 12-month unbeaten run via a midweek loss to Croatia, though their third-place CONMEBOL qualifying finish keeps them competitive; key absences like Yerry Mina and Jhon Duran temper threats from Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez. The 23.5% draw pricing highlights friendly rotations—France without Jules Kounde, Bradley Barcola, and possibly Aurelien Tchouameni (bruised)—on neutral US soil at Northwest Stadium, where even head-to-head history (two wins apiece) adds upset potential.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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