Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability as the narrow favorite for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, dominant qualifiers, and a robust March squad featuring Lamine Yamal's return alongside Rodri and young talents like Pedri, signaling peak form 100 days out per recent power rankings. France (12%), England (13%), Argentina (10%), and Brazil (9%) trail closely, reflecting deep squads with Mbappé's explosiveness, Bellingham-Kane synergy, Messi's lingering influence despite age, and Brazil's attacking pedigree amid comfortable CONMEBOL qualification. The bunched odds underscore the 48-team format's expanded group stage easing paths for elites, balanced post-draw groups avoiding early clashes among top seeds, and no major injuries disrupting momentum as playoffs conclude March 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSpanien 15.7%
England 12.8%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 11.8%
Argentinien 9.6%
$430,391,196 Vol.
$430,391,196 Vol.
Spanien
16%
England
13%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
12%
Argentinien
10%
Brasilien
9%
Portugal
7%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
3%
Italien
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Japan
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Schweiz
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Österreich
1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Australien
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Iran
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Spanien 15.7%
England 12.8%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 11.8%
Argentinien 9.6%
$430,391,196 Vol.
$430,391,196 Vol.
Spanien
16%
England
13%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
12%
Argentinien
10%
Brasilien
9%
Portugal
7%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
3%
Italien
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Japan
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Schweiz
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Österreich
1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Australien
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Iran
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability as the narrow favorite for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, dominant qualifiers, and a robust March squad featuring Lamine Yamal's return alongside Rodri and young talents like Pedri, signaling peak form 100 days out per recent power rankings. France (12%), England (13%), Argentina (10%), and Brazil (9%) trail closely, reflecting deep squads with Mbappé's explosiveness, Bellingham-Kane synergy, Messi's lingering influence despite age, and Brazil's attacking pedigree amid comfortable CONMEBOL qualification. The bunched odds underscore the 48-team format's expanded group stage easing paths for elites, balanced post-draw groups avoiding early clashes among top seeds, and no major injuries disrupting momentum as playoffs conclude March 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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