singularityman

Beigetreten Jan. 2025·616 Aufrufe

$31.5K

Positionen Wert

$15.0K

Größter Gewinn

652

Gehandelte Märkte

Gesamt-PnL: +$85.5K
Gesamtvolumen: 1.3M

Gewinn/Verlust

$167.08

Letzter Tag

Markt

Durchschnitt

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 56.4¢

19,289.6 Anteile

56.4¢

91.5¢

$17,649.96$6,778.61 (62.35%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 56.4¢

19,289.6 Anteile

$17,649.96$6,778.61 (62.35%)

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 72.3¢

1,914.0 Anteile

72.3¢

91¢

$1,741.74$358.12 (25.88%)

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 72.3¢

1,914.0 Anteile

$1,741.74$358.12 (25.88%)

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

No 46.5¢

1,550.2 Anteile

46.5¢

90¢

$1,395.19$674.81 (93.67%)

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

No 46.5¢

1,550.2 Anteile

$1,395.19$674.81 (93.67%)

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

No 77.8¢

1,000.0 Anteile

77.8¢

96.6¢

$965.49$187.44 (24.09%)

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

No 77.8¢

1,000.0 Anteile

$965.49$187.44 (24.09%)

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

No 90¢

807.0 Anteile

90¢

98.4¢

$794.09$67.56 (9.3%)

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

No 90¢

807.0 Anteile

$794.09$67.56 (9.3%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?

Yes 19.7¢

759.0 Anteile

19.7¢

97.3¢

$738.46$588.64 (392.92%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?

Yes 19.7¢

759.0 Anteile

$738.46$588.64 (392.92%)

Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?

No 74.9¢

725.2 Anteile

74.9¢

96.5¢

$699.47$156.21 (28.75%)

Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?

No 74.9¢

725.2 Anteile

$699.47$156.21 (28.75%)

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?

No 82.3¢

671.0 Anteile

82.3¢

96.9¢

$649.86$97.50 (17.65%)

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?

No 82.3¢

671.0 Anteile

$649.86$97.50 (17.65%)

Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?

No 73.2¢

612.1 Anteile

73.2¢

96.5¢

$590.72$142.85 (31.9%)

Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?

No 73.2¢

612.1 Anteile

$590.72$142.85 (31.9%)

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Yes 11.5¢

3,025.4 Anteile

11.5¢

16.5¢

$499.18$152.37 (43.93%)

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Yes 11.5¢

3,025.4 Anteile

$499.18$152.37 (43.93%)

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

No 31.5¢

391.0 Anteile

31.5¢

97.6¢

$381.62$258.53 (210.03%)

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

No 31.5¢

391.0 Anteile

$381.62$258.53 (210.03%)

US imports Russian diesel by November 30?

No 37.9¢

405.0 Anteile

37.9¢

88.5¢

$358.43$205.01 (133.62%)

US imports Russian diesel by November 30?

No 37.9¢

405.0 Anteile

$358.43$205.01 (133.62%)

Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

No 63.4¢

500.6 Anteile

63.4¢

71¢

$355.39$37.86 (11.92%)

Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

No 63.4¢

500.6 Anteile

$355.39$37.86 (11.92%)

Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 73.9¢

335.2 Anteile

73.9¢

96.2¢

$322.46$74.85 (30.23%)

Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 73.9¢

335.2 Anteile

$322.46$74.85 (30.23%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?

Yes 41.6¢

384.0 Anteile

41.6¢

80.8¢

$310.08$150.21 (93.96%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?

Yes 41.6¢

384.0 Anteile

$310.08$150.21 (93.96%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more?

No 78.5¢

261.0 Anteile

78.5¢

97.3¢

$253.95$49.16 (24.01%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more?

No 78.5¢

261.0 Anteile

$253.95$49.16 (24.01%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?

No 87.2¢

248.0 Anteile

87.2¢

98.5¢

$244.28$28.02 (12.96%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?

No 87.2¢

248.0 Anteile

$244.28$28.02 (12.96%)

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Yes 27¢

855.9 Anteile

27¢

27.5¢

$235.36$3.97 (1.71%)

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Yes 27¢

855.9 Anteile

$235.36$3.97 (1.71%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 45¢

2,401.0 Anteile

45¢

9.6¢

$230.50-$849.36 (-78.65%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 45¢

2,401.0 Anteile

$230.50-$849.36 (-78.65%)

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

Yes 15¢

2,286.0 Anteile

15¢

9¢

$205.74-$138.13 (-40.17%)

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

Yes 15¢

2,286.0 Anteile

$205.74-$138.13 (-40.17%)