Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

নতুন

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

99%

No change

Hike 25 bps

$55K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%

15%

Yes15%No85%

3.75%

Yes7%No93%

4.25%

15%

Yes15%No85%

3.75%

Yes7%No93%

$26K Vol.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 31

19%

Yes19%No82%

November 30

Yes7%No94%

December 31

19%

Yes19%No82%

November 30

Yes7%No94%

$13K Vol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

75%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$1M Vol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 31

10%

Yes10%No91%

November 30

Yes3%No97%

December 31

10%

Yes10%No91%

November 30

Yes3%No97%

$32K Vol.

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$30K Vol.

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027

10%

Yes10%No91%

December 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

June 30, 2027

10%

Yes10%No91%

December 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

$50K Vol.

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps)

71%

Yes71%No30%

1 (25 bps)

23%

Yes23%No77%

2 (50 bps)

71%

Yes71%No30%

1 (25 bps)

23%

Yes23%No77%

$1M Vol.

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

December 31

October 31

December 31

October 31

$37K Vol.

2026 সালের শেষে ফেড রেট কী হবে?

৪.২৫%

69%

হ্য.69%না.31%

৪.০%

19%

হ্য.19%না.81%

৪.২৫%

69%

হ্য.69%না.31%

৪.০%

19%

হ্য.19%না.81%

$7M Vol.

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

নতুন

Jerome Powell federally charged by...? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$320K Vol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? card icon

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

10%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$470K Vol.

ফেড রেট কমানো হয়েছে...?

July 2027 Meeting

Yes50%No50%

April 2027 Meeting

39%

Yes39%No61%

July 2027 Meeting

Yes50%No50%

April 2027 Meeting

39%

Yes39%No61%

$4M Vol.

ফেড রেট 2027 সালের আগে কী আঘাত করবে?

↑ ৪.২৫%

75%

হ্য.75%না.25%

↑ ৪.৫%

হ্য.9%না.92%

↑ ৪.২৫%

75%

হ্য.75%না.25%

↑ ৪.৫%

হ্য.9%না.92%

$2M Vol.

2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?

০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

97%

হ্য.97%না.3%

১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

হ্য.1%না.99%

০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

97%

হ্য.97%না.3%

১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

হ্য.1%না.99%

$55M Vol.