OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file IPO paperwork in the coming weeks, targeting a potential September 2026 debut with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, are the main driver behind the 75.5% market-implied probability it lists before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI’s explicit intent to reach public markets ahead of its rival, supported by substantial recent funding rounds and a push to convert to a public benefit corporation. While Anthropic has discussed a possible late-2026 timeline, including earlier October targets, its preparations appear less advanced on current timelines. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal SEC filings or earnings updates that could further clarify competitive positioning in the artificial intelligence sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
$62,364 Vol.
$62,364 Vol.
Anthropic
$62,364 Vol.
$62,364 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file IPO paperwork in the coming weeks, targeting a potential September 2026 debut with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, are the main driver behind the 75.5% market-implied probability it lists before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI’s explicit intent to reach public markets ahead of its rival, supported by substantial recent funding rounds and a push to convert to a public benefit corporation. While Anthropic has discussed a possible late-2026 timeline, including earlier October targets, its preparations appear less advanced on current timelines. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal SEC filings or earnings updates that could further clarify competitive positioning in the artificial intelligence sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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