OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent decision to defer a 2026 listing in favor of 2027—driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion valuation target versus the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion—underpin the dispersed Polymarket odds on IPO proceeds. Traders price in a measured primary raise, with the <$30 billion bucket leading at 32.9 percent, reflecting the company’s $24 billion revenue run rate, projected 2026 operating losses near $14 billion, and caution following SpaceX’s volatile debut. Key swing factors include potential acceleration in revenue inflection, underwriter guidance from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, and broader AI-sector multiples amid regulatory review. The spread across $40–50 billion and higher tranches captures uncertainty over deal size once the filing converts to public status.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 31.9%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 12%
$70B–$80B 8.7%
<$30B
32%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
12%
<$30B 31.9%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 12%
$70B–$80B 8.7%
<$30B
32%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
12%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent decision to defer a 2026 listing in favor of 2027—driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion valuation target versus the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion—underpin the dispersed Polymarket odds on IPO proceeds. Traders price in a measured primary raise, with the <$30 billion bucket leading at 32.9 percent, reflecting the company’s $24 billion revenue run rate, projected 2026 operating losses near $14 billion, and caution following SpaceX’s volatile debut. Key swing factors include potential acceleration in revenue inflection, underwriter guidance from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, and broader AI-sector multiples amid regulatory review. The spread across $40–50 billion and higher tranches captures uncertainty over deal size once the filing converts to public status.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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