OpenAI's latest $852 billion post-money private valuation following its March 2026 $122 billion funding round anchors trader sentiment, with implied probabilities clustering in the $1.25T–$1.75T range amid expectations of an IPO premium tempered by execution risks. Rapid ARR expansion to roughly $25 billion, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports higher multiples, yet persistent GAAP losses projected near $33 billion in 2026 and competition from Anthropic introduce valuation uncertainty. Confidential S-1 filing and reports of potential 2027 listing versus late-2026 debut highlight timing as a key swing factor, with market-implied odds reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on revenue trajectory and regulatory pathway rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.25T–$1.5T 27.1%
$1.5T–$1.75T 22.4%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$2.25T–$2.5T 11%
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
9%
$1.25T–$1.5T
27%
$1.5T–$1.75T
22%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
3%
$1.25T–$1.5T 27.1%
$1.5T–$1.75T 22.4%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$2.25T–$2.5T 11%
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
9%
$1.25T–$1.5T
27%
$1.5T–$1.75T
22%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
3%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's latest $852 billion post-money private valuation following its March 2026 $122 billion funding round anchors trader sentiment, with implied probabilities clustering in the $1.25T–$1.75T range amid expectations of an IPO premium tempered by execution risks. Rapid ARR expansion to roughly $25 billion, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports higher multiples, yet persistent GAAP losses projected near $33 billion in 2026 and competition from Anthropic introduce valuation uncertainty. Confidential S-1 filing and reports of potential 2027 listing versus late-2026 debut highlight timing as a key swing factor, with market-implied odds reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on revenue trajectory and regulatory pathway rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা