Redistricting in 2025 shifted Texas' 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, incorporating more rural and conservative areas around San Antonio and giving the seat an open character after the prior incumbent relocated. This created a Lean Republican environment based on 2024 presidential results, yet trader consensus favors Democrat Johnny Garcia at 60.5% over Republican Carlos De La Cruz at 40.5%. Recent developments include Trump's October 2026 San Antonio rally boosting De La Cruz, who emphasizes border security and aligns with the administration, while Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff's deputy, highlights affordability and working-class costs amid reported Latino voter movement back toward Democrats. Polling has shown the race near even or within a few points, with turnout in urban Bexar County and economic messaging as key variables ahead of the November 3 general election.
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