The Texas 22nd congressional district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 to R+11 and strong 2024 presidential margins, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination with a decisive 75.7 percent in the March 3, 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from her party's primary, but the district's suburban Houston composition across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties offers limited crossover appeal. With the general election set for November 3, 2026 and no significant polling shifts or registration changes reported since the primaries, the implied probability aligns with historical voting patterns and race ratings classifying the contest as Solid Republican.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,280 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$2,092 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 22nd congressional district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 to R+11 and strong 2024 presidential margins, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination with a decisive 75.7 percent in the March 3, 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from her party's primary, but the district's suburban Houston composition across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties offers limited crossover appeal. With the general election set for November 3, 2026 and no significant polling shifts or registration changes reported since the primaries, the implied probability aligns with historical voting patterns and race ratings classifying the contest as Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,373শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 22nd congressional district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 to R+11 and strong 2024 presidential margins, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination with a decisive 75.7 percent in the March 3, 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from her party's primary, but the district's suburban Houston composition across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties offers limited crossover appeal. With the general election set for November 3, 2026 and no significant polling shifts or registration changes reported since the primaries, the implied probability aligns with historical voting patterns and race ratings classifying the contest as Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$3,373শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 22nd congressional district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 to R+11 and strong 2024 presidential margins, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination with a decisive 75.7 percent in the March 3, 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from her party's primary, but the district's suburban Houston composition across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties offers limited crossover appeal. With the general election set for November 3, 2026 and no significant polling shifts or registration changes reported since the primaries, the implied probability aligns with historical voting patterns and race ratings classifying the contest as Solid Republican.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা