Texas's 22nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+9 to R+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The open seat, created by retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, drew a crowded Republican primary that Trever Nehls, the former Fort Bend County constable and the incumbent's brother, won decisively with Trump and Cruz endorsements. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2012. Traders price the Republican hold above 90 percent because the district's voting patterns, primary outcomes, and limited Democratic fundraising show little evidence of a competitive general election contest. A major scandal, national Democratic surge, or unusually high suburban turnout could still narrow the margin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$26,487 Vol.
$26,487 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
8%
$26,487 Vol.
$26,487 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
$16,898 Vol.
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+9 to R+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The open seat, created by retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, drew a crowded Republican primary that Trever Nehls, the former Fort Bend County constable and the incumbent's brother, won decisively with Trump and Cruz endorsements. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2012. Traders price the Republican hold above 90 percent because the district's voting patterns, primary outcomes, and limited Democratic fundraising show little evidence of a competitive general election contest. A major scandal, national Democratic surge, or unusually high suburban turnout could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$26,487শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+9 to R+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The open seat, created by retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, drew a crowded Republican primary that Trever Nehls, the former Fort Bend County constable and the incumbent's brother, won decisively with Trump and Cruz endorsements. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2012. Traders price the Republican hold above 90 percent because the district's voting patterns, primary outcomes, and limited Democratic fundraising show little evidence of a competitive general election contest. A major scandal, national Democratic surge, or unusually high suburban turnout could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$26,487শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+9 to R+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The open seat, created by retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, drew a crowded Republican primary that Trever Nehls, the former Fort Bend County constable and the incumbent's brother, won decisively with Trump and Cruz endorsements. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2012. Traders price the Republican hold above 90 percent because the district's voting patterns, primary outcomes, and limited Democratic fundraising show little evidence of a competitive general election contest. A major scandal, national Democratic surge, or unusually high suburban turnout could still narrow the margin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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